Chervon Holdings Limited (HKG:2285) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 21% share price drop.
Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Chervon Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Consumer Durables industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.5x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
What Does Chervon Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Chervon Holdings' revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
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Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Chervon Holdings?
Chervon Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 16% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 6.6% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 26% during the coming year according to the nine analysts following the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 13%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
In light of this, it's curious that Chervon Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Chervon Holdings looks to be in line with the rest of the Consumer Durables industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Looking at Chervon Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't giving the boost to its P/S that we would've expected. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Chervon Holdings with six simple checks.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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