Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) (SZSE:000029) A Risky Investment?
Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) (SZSE:000029) A Risky Investment?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000029) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
有人說,與債務相比,波動性是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特 famously 說過:『波動性遠非與風險同義。』所以聰明的錢知道,債務——通常與破產相關聯——是在評估公司風險時一個非常重要的因素。與許多其他公司一樣,深圳特區房地產及物業(集團)有限公司(SZSE:000029)也使用了債務。但是股東應擔心它的債務使用嗎?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務幫助一家企業,直到企業難以償還,要麼通過新資本,要麼通過自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以控制企業。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦的)情景是企業不得不以低價籌集新股本,從而永久性地稀釋股東。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其當它取代一家公司中具有高回報率再投資能力的稀釋時。當我們考慮一家公司使用債務時,首先要看現金和債務總額。
How Much Debt Does Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) Carry?
深圳特區房地產及物業(集團)的債務有多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) had debt of CN¥117.0m at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥243.3m over a year. But it also has CN¥1.52b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.40b net cash.
下面的圖像可以點擊以獲取更多細節,顯示深圳特區房地產及物業(集團)在 2024 年 9 月底的債務爲 11700萬人民幣,比一年前的 24330萬人民幣減少。但它還有 15.2億人民幣的現金可以抵消,這意味着它淨現金爲 14億人民幣。
How Strong Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group)'s Balance Sheet?
深圳經濟特區房地產及物業(集團)的資產負債表有多強?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) had liabilities of CN¥2.61b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥65.3m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.52b as well as receivables valued at CN¥135.7m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.02b.
仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到深圳經濟特區房地產及物業(集團)在12個月內到期的負債爲26.1億人民幣,以及超過12個月到期的負債爲6530萬人民幣。抵消這些義務,它有15.2億人民幣的現金以及在12個月內到期的應收款爲13570萬人民幣。因此,它的負債超過了現金和(短期)應收款的總和10.2億人民幣。
Given Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) has a market capitalization of CN¥13.9b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load! There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
鑑於深圳經濟特區房地產及物業(集團)的市值爲139億人民幣,很難相信這些負債構成了多大的威脅。話雖如此,顯然我們應該繼續關注其資產負債表,以免情況變得更糟。儘管其負債顯著,但深圳經濟特區房地產及物業(集團)擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說,它沒有過重的債務負擔!毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的內容最多。但你不能將債務孤立地看待;因爲深圳經濟特區房地產及物業(集團)需要收益來償還這些債務。因此,如果你想了解更多關於其收益的信息,查看這張其長期收益趨勢的圖表可能是值得的。
In the last year Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 17%, to CN¥385m. We would much prefer see growth.
在過去一年中,深圳經濟特區房地產及物業(集團)在利息和稅前有虧損,實際上其營業收入減少了17%,降至38500萬人民幣。我們更傾向於看到增長。
So How Risky Is Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group)?
那麼深圳經濟特區房地產及物業(集團)有多大的風險呢?
Although Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last twelve months, it generated positive free cash flow of CN¥970m. So although it is loss-making, it doesn't seem to have too much near-term balance sheet risk, keeping in mind the net cash. With revenue growth uninspiring, we'd really need to see some positive EBIT before mustering much enthusiasm for this business. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Special Economic Zone Real Estate & Properties (Group) that you should be aware of before investing here.
儘管深圳經濟特區房地產及物業(集團)在過去的12個月內有利息和稅前(EBIT)虧損,但它產生了97000萬人民幣的積極自由現金流。因此,儘管它正在虧損,但考慮到淨現金,它似乎沒有過多的短期資產負債表風險。由於營業收入增長乏力,我們真的需要看到一些積極的EBIT,才能對該業務產生更多的熱情。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是開始的地方。但最終,每個公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們發現深圳經濟特區房地產及物業(集團)存在1個警告信號,在你投資之前應該了解。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。