Is Shandong HaihuaLtd (SZSE:000822) A Risky Investment?
Is Shandong HaihuaLtd (SZSE:000822) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Shandong Haihua Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000822) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
傳奇基金經理李錄(查理·芒格曾支持過他)曾說過:『最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受資本的永久性損失。』 因此,當你考慮任何股票的風險時,考慮債務是顯而易見的,因爲過多的債務可能會淹沒一家公司。重要的是,山東海化股份有限公司(SZSE:000822)確實有債務。那麼,股東是否應該擔心其債務使用情況呢?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
當一個企業無法輕鬆履行這些義務時,債務和其他負債會變得風險重重,無論是通過自由現金流,還是通過以有吸引力的價格籌集資金。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法償還債權人,則可能會破產。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司因債權人迫使其以低價籌集資金而永久稀釋股東權益。也就是說,最常見的情況是公司合理地管理其債務,並將其作爲自身的優勢。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先一起查看現金和債務。
What Is Shandong HaihuaLtd's Debt?
山東海化有限公司的債務是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Shandong HaihuaLtd had CN¥252.6m of debt, an increase on CN¥141.1m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.82b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.57b net cash position.
你可以點擊下面的圖形查看歷史數據,但它顯示截至2024年9月,山東海化有限公司的債務爲25260萬人民幣,比14110萬人民幣增加了一年。然而,另一方面,它還有18.2億人民幣的現金,導致淨現金頭寸爲15.7億人民幣。
![big](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20241123/0-68a2fb159ab27284276799f3cefb8dc2-0-75ef640ea88531ccd08f73cf5eb2a52b.png/big)
How Strong Is Shandong HaihuaLtd's Balance Sheet?
山東海化的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shandong HaihuaLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.58b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥612.0m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.82b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.41b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥1.04b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
我們可以從最新的資產負債表看到,山東海化有CN¥25.8億的負債在一年內到期,以及CN¥61200萬的負債在一年後到期。抵消這些義務,它有CN¥18.2億的現金,以及價值CN¥24.1億的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的流動資產比總負債多出CN¥10.4億。
This excess liquidity suggests that Shandong HaihuaLtd is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Shandong HaihuaLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
這種流動性過剩表明山東海化在債務管理上採取了謹慎的態度。因爲它擁有大量的資產,因此不太可能與貸款方出現問題。簡單來說,山東海化擁有的現金超過負債,這無疑是它能夠安全管理債務的良好指示。
On the other hand, Shandong HaihuaLtd's EBIT dived 13%, over the last year. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Shandong HaihuaLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
另一方面,山東海化的EBIT在過去一年中下降了13%。我們認爲,如果這種表現頻繁重複,可能會給股票帶來困難。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中對債務的了解最多。但影響資產負債表未來表現的將是山東海化的收益。因此,在考慮債務時,查看收益趨勢絕對是值得的。點擊這裏查看交互式快照。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Shandong HaihuaLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Shandong HaihuaLtd recorded free cash flow worth 58% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最後,雖然稅務部門可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受現金。雖然山東海化在資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍然值得關注其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們理解它多久能建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額。在最近的三年中,山東海化記錄的自由現金流佔其EBIT的58%,這大致在正常範圍內,因爲自由現金流不包括利息和稅款。這部分現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。
Summing Up
總結
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Shandong HaihuaLtd has CN¥1.57b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we don't have any problem with Shandong HaihuaLtd's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Shandong HaihuaLtd that you should be aware of.
雖然調查一家公司的債務始終是明智的,但在這種情況下,山東海化有限公司有15.7億人民幣的淨現金和一個看起來不錯的資產負債表。 所以我們對山東海化有限公司使用債務沒有任何問題。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。例如,我們已經識別出1個警告信號,您應該注意山東海化有限公司。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。