Angel Yeast (SHSE:600298) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Angel Yeast (SHSE:600298) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Angel Yeast Co., Ltd (SHSE:600298) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
霍華德·馬克斯說得很好,相較於擔心股票價格波動,『我擔心的是永久性損失的可能性……這是我認識的每位實際投資者都擔心的風險。』 當我們考慮一家公司有多風險時,我們總是喜歡關注它對債務的使用,因爲債務過度可能導致毀滅。 和許多其他公司一樣,安琪酵母股份有限公司 (SHSE:600298) 也利用了債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否讓公司變得有風險。
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般來說,當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過融資還是利用自身現金流。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所獲。雖然這種情況並不太常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司因爲貸款人強迫它們以賤價籌集資金而導致股東永久被稀釋。當考慮一家企業使用多少債務時,首要事情是查看其現金和債務的整體情況,許多公司利用債務資助增長,並沒有任何負面後果。
What Is Angel Yeast's Debt?
安琪酵母的債務是什麼?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Angel Yeast had debt of CN¥6.75b, up from CN¥5.21b in one year. However, it also had CN¥1.74b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥5.01b.
下圖,您可以點擊以獲得更詳細信息,顯示截至2024年9月安琪酵母的債務爲67.5億人民幣,較一年前的52.1億人民幣有所增加。不過,它也有17.4億人民幣的現金,因此其淨債務爲50.1億人民幣。
A Look At Angel Yeast's Liabilities
觀察安琪酵母的負債
According to the last reported balance sheet, Angel Yeast had liabilities of CN¥6.73b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥3.25b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.74b in cash and CN¥2.51b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥5.72b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
根據最後報告的資產負債表,安琪酵母的短期負債爲67.3億人民幣,長期負債爲32.5億人民幣。爲了抵消這些負債,它有17.4億人民幣的現金和25.1億人民幣的短期應收款。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收款多出57.2億人民幣。
Since publicly traded Angel Yeast shares are worth a total of CN¥29.5b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
由於安琪酵母的公開交易股票總值爲295億人民幣,因此這一負債水平不太可能構成重大威脅。雖然如此,顯然我們應該繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況變壞。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我們使用兩個主要比率來了解債務相對於收入的水平。首先是淨債務除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),而第二個是其稅前利潤(EBIT)可以覆蓋利息支出的倍數(或簡稱爲利息覆蓋率)。 這種方法的優勢在於我們既考慮了債務的絕對量(淨債務與EBITDA)又考慮了與該債務相關的實際利息支出(利息覆蓋比)。
We'd say that Angel Yeast's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 2.3), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its strong interest cover of 16.3 times, makes us even more comfortable. Sadly, Angel Yeast's EBIT actually dropped 9.2% in the last year. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Angel Yeast's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
我們認爲安琪酵母適度的淨債務與EBITDA比率(爲2.3)表示在債務方面的謹慎。而其強勁的利息覆蓋率爲16.3倍,讓我們感到更爲安心。可悲的是,安琪酵母的EBIT在去年實際上下降了9.2%。如果收益繼續下降,那麼管理這些債務將像在獨輪車上送熱湯一樣困難。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是個出發點。但未來的收益比任何事情都更能決定安琪酵母能否維持健康的資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份展示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Angel Yeast saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
但我們的最終考慮也很重要,因爲公司不能僅憑紙面利潤償還債務;它需要真正的現金。因此,我們總是檢查EBIT有多少轉化爲自由現金流。在過去三年中,安琪酵母整體上看到了巨額的負自由現金流。雖然投資者無疑期待這種情況將在適當時候逆轉,但這顯然意味着其債務使用的風險更大。
Our View
我們的觀點
Neither Angel Yeast's ability to convert EBIT to free cash flow nor its EBIT growth rate gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Angel Yeast is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Angel Yeast is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those shouldn't be ignored...
無論是天使酵母將EBIT轉化爲自由現金流的能力,還是其EBIT增長率,都未能讓我們對其承擔更多債務的能力產生信懇智能。不過,它的利息保障倍數卻講述了一個截然不同的故事,並暗示了一些韌性。 當我們考慮所有討論的因素時,我們認爲天使酵母在使用債務方面正承擔着一些風險。因此,雖然這種槓桿確實提升了股本回報,但我們並不希望看到這一比例進一步上升。 在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個良好的開始。但是,最終每家公司都可能存在那些不在資產負債表上的風險。 請注意,天使酵母在我們的投資分析中顯示出3個警告信號,其中1個信號不容忽視...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。