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Earnings Growth of 0.8% Over 3 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Chacha Food Company (SZSE:002557) Shareholders

Earnings Growth of 0.8% Over 3 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for Chacha Food Company (SZSE:002557) Shareholders

在過去3年中,0.8%的盈利增長對洽洽食品公司(SZSE:002557)的股東來說還不足以轉化爲正收益
Simply Wall St ·  11/22 17:16

Chacha Food Company, Limited (SZSE:002557) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 16% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been less than pleasing. In fact, the share price is down 45% in the last three years, falling well short of the market return.

洽洽食品公司(深交所:002557)的股東應該很高興,看到股價在上個季度上漲了16%。但這並不能改變過去三年回報不盡如人意的事實。實際上,股價在過去三年下跌了45%,遠遠低於市場回報。

Since Chacha Food Company has shed CN¥1.0b from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由於洽洽食品公司在過去7天內價值蒸發了10億人民幣,我們來看看長期下滑是否是由公司的經濟因素驅動的。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

雖然市場是一個強大的定價機制,但股價反映的不僅僅是企業的基本業績,還有投資者的情緒。一個不完美但簡單的方式來考慮公司市場意識的變化是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的變化。

Although the share price is down over three years, Chacha Food Company actually managed to grow EPS by 2.4% per year in that time. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

儘管股價在三年內下滑,洽洽食品公司實際上在此期間每年的每股收益增長了2.4%。這相當讓人困惑,並表明可能有某些暫時因素提振了股價。或者,過去的增長預期可能不切實際。

It's pretty reasonable to suspect the market was previously to bullish on the stock, and has since moderated expectations. But it's possible a look at other metrics will be enlightening.

認爲市場過去對該股過於看好,並且此後調整了預期是相當合理的。但檢查其他指標可能是有啓迪性的。

Revenue is actually up 7.3% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating Chacha Food Company further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.

營業收入在三年內實際上增長了7.3%,因此股價下跌似乎並不依賴於營業收入。這可能值得進一步調查洽洽食品公司;雖然我們可能在這項分析中遺漏了一些東西,但也可能存在機會。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

以下圖片顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化(如果你點擊圖片,可以看到更詳細的信息)。

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SZSE:002557 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 23rd 2024
深交所:002557 業績與營業收入增長 2024年11月23日

Chacha Food Company is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Chacha Food Company will earn in the future (free analyst consensus estimates)

洽洽食品公司在投資者中享有很高的知名度,許多聰明的分析師試圖預測未來的利潤水平。因此,查看分析師對洽洽食品公司未來盈利的看法(免費的分析師共識預估)是非常有意義的。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for Chacha Food Company the TSR over the last 3 years was -41%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報率(TSR)。股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而TSR包括分紅的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折扣資本籌集或拆分的好處。可以說,TSR提供了一個更全面的股票回報情況。我們注意到,洽洽食品公司在過去三年的TSR爲-41%,這比上述提到的股價回報要好。而且,不用猜就知道,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這一差異!

A Different Perspective

另一種看法

While the broader market gained around 7.6% in the last year, Chacha Food Company shareholders lost 19% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 0.3%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. Keeping this in mind, a solid next step might be to take a look at Chacha Food Company's dividend track record. This free interactive graph is a great place to start.

在過去一年中,整體市場上漲約7.6%,而洽洽食品公司的股東損失了19%(甚至包括分紅派息)。然而,請記住,即使是最好的股票,有時在十二個月內也會表現不及市場。長期投資者不會感到太沮喪,因爲他們在五年內每年獲得了0.3%的收益。如果基本數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長的潛力,那麼當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。考慮到這一點,一個穩健的下一步可能是查看洽洽食品公司的分紅派息記錄。這張免費的互動圖表是一個很好的開始。

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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