Wondershare Technology Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300624) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?
Wondershare Technology Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300624) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?
Most readers would already be aware that Wondershare Technology Group's (SZSE:300624) stock increased significantly by 49% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study Wondershare Technology Group's ROE in this article.
大多數讀者應該已經意識到,萬興科技(SZSE:300624)的股票在過去三個月內大幅增長了49%。 但公司的關鍵財務指標似乎在各個方面有所不同,這讓我們懷疑公司當前的股價勢頭能否得到維持。 具體來說,我們決定在本文中研究萬興科技的roe。
Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.
股東應考慮的重要因素是淨資產收益率或roe,因爲它告訴他們投資的資本如何被有效地再投資。簡單來說,它用於評估公司與其股權資本相關的盈利能力。
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
如何計算股東權益報酬率?
The formula for ROE is:
roe的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營) ÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Wondershare Technology Group is:
因此,根據上述公式,萬興科技的roe爲:
1.9% = CN¥25m ÷ CN¥1.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
1.9% = 人民幣2500萬 ÷ 人民幣13億(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.02 in profit.
「回報」是指公司去年的收益。另一種思考方法是,對於每1元的股權,公司能夠獲得0.02元的利潤。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
ROE爲什麼對淨利潤增長很重要?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.
到目前爲止,我們已經了解到ROE衡量了公司有效地利用其利潤的能力。根據公司再投資或「保留」的利潤量以及公司再投資利潤的效果,我們就能評估公司的盈利增長潛力。一般來說,其他條件相同,ROE高和盈利保留公司的成長率比沒有這些屬性的公司更高。
Wondershare Technology Group's Earnings Growth And 1.9% ROE
萬興科技集團的盈利增長和1.9%的roe
It is hard to argue that Wondershare Technology Group's ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 4.5%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 16% seen by Wondershare Technology Group was possibly a result of it having a lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.
很難說萬興科技集團的roe本身多麼良好。不僅如此,即使與行業平均水平4.5%相比,該公司的roe也毫不引人注目。因此,可以說,萬興科技集團五年淨利潤下降16%,可能是由於其roe較低。我們認爲,還可能有其他消極影響公司盈利前景的方面。例如,公司的分紅比率很高,或面臨競爭壓力。
So, as a next step, we compared Wondershare Technology Group's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 1.1% over the last few years.
因此,作爲下一步,我們比較了萬興科技集團與行業的表現,發現雖然該公司正在減少盈利,但行業在過去幾年的盈利增長率達到了1.1%。
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Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Wondershare Technology Group is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
盈利增長是股票估值中的重要因素。投資者接下來需要判斷的是,預期的盈利增長或其缺乏是否已經融入股價。通過這樣做,他們可以判斷股票是往清澈的藍色水域前進,還是等待着泥濘的水域。預期盈利增長的一個良好指標是市盈率,它根據盈利前景確定市場願意爲股票支付的價格。因此,您可能希望查看萬興科技是否在相對於其行業而言以高市盈率還是低市盈率交易。
Is Wondershare Technology Group Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
萬興科技是否高效利用其利潤?
Wondershare Technology Group's low three-year median payout ratio of 23% (or a retention ratio of 77%) over the last three years should mean that the company is retaining most of its earnings to fuel its growth but the company's earnings have actually shrunk. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.
在過去三年中,萬興科技的低三年中位數分紅比率爲23%(或保留比率爲77%),這意味着該公司正在保留大部分利潤來推動其增長,但該公司的盈利實際上有所下降。當一家公司大部分利潤保留時,通常情況下不應該出現盈利下降的情況。因此,在這方面可能有一些其他解釋。例如,公司的業務可能正在惡化。
Additionally, Wondershare Technology Group has paid dividends over a period of seven years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 12% over the next three years. Accordingly, the expected drop in the payout ratio explains the expected increase in the company's ROE to 8.6%, over the same period.
此外,萬興科技連續七年支付股息,這意味着公司的管理層相當注重保持股息支付,無論盈利是否下降。在研究最新的分析師一致數據時,我們發現該公司未來的分紅比率預計將在未來三年內下降至12%。因此,分紅比率預期下降解釋了同期公司roe的預期增長至8.6%。
Summary
總結
Overall, we have mixed feelings about Wondershare Technology Group. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
總的來說,我們對萬興科技集團的感覺有些複雜。雖然公司似乎保存了大部分利潤,但鑑於較低的roe,投資者可能並沒有從所有的再投資中受益。低收益增長率表明了我們的理論是正確的。儘管如此,看着目前分析師的預測,我們發現該公司的盈利增長率有望大幅改善。要了解更多關於公司未來盈利增長預測的信息,請查看此免費報告,以獲取有關分析師對該公司的預測的更多信息。
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