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Here's Why Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (HKG:874) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

Here's Why Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (HKG:874) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

以下是白雲山(HKG:874)爲何能夠負責地管理其債務的原因
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/23 09:24

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings Company Limited (HKG:874) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

傳奇基金經理李路(查理·芒格支持的)曾說過:"最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受資本的永久損失。" 所以,當你考慮任何一隻股票的風險時,考慮債務可能是顯而易見的,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們可以看到,白雲山(HKG:874)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是,股東應該對其債務的使用感到擔憂嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般來說,只有當企業不能輕易償還其債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是利用自身的現金流。最終,如果公司無法執行其法律義務償還債務,股東可能會一無所獲。雖然這不太常見,但我們經常看到負債的公司永久地稀釋股東的權益,因爲貸款人會強制以危機價格提高他們的資本。當然,債務對於企業來說也是很重要的工具,特別是對於資本密集型企業來說。考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的就是查看其現金和債務的總體情況。

What Is Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings's Net Debt?

白雲山的淨債務是多少?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings had debt of CN¥13.5b, up from CN¥11.6b in one year. But it also has CN¥17.5b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥3.98b net cash.

下圖可以點擊以獲取更多詳細信息,顯示到2024年9月,白雲山的債務爲135億人民幣,相較於一年前的116億人民幣有所上升。但它也有175億人民幣的現金來抵消這部分債務,這意味着它的淨現金爲39.8億人民幣。

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SEHK:874 Debt to Equity History November 23rd 2024
SEHK:874 債務與股本歷史 2024年11月23日

A Look At Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings' Liabilities

審視白雲山藥品控股的負債情況

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings had liabilities of CN¥36.3b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥4.94b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥17.5b as well as receivables valued at CN¥22.0b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.72b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

我們可以從最近的資產負債表中看到,白雲山藥品控股的流動負債爲363億人民幣,非流動負債爲49.4億人民幣。抵消這些義務,該公司擁有現金175億人民幣以及12個月內到期的應收款220億人民幣。因此,其負債總額比現金和短期應收款的總和多出17.2億人民幣。

Since publicly traded Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings shares are worth a total of CN¥43.1b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

由於上市的白雲山藥品控股股票總值爲431億人民幣,因此這種負債水平似乎不會構成重大威脅。然而,我們認爲關注其資產負債表的實力是值得的,因爲這可能會隨着時間的推移而變化。儘管其負債顯著,白雲山藥品控股仍擁有淨現金,因此可以公平地說其負債負擔並不沉重!

On the other hand, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings's EBIT dived 17%, over the last year. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

另一方面,白雲山藥品控股的EBIT在過去一年度下降了17%。如果這種盈利下降的趨勢持續下去,公司可能會陷入困境。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是重點關注的領域。但未來的盈利比其他任何因素都更能判斷白雲山藥品控股維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Looking at the most recent three years, Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings recorded free cash flow of 46% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

但我們的最終考慮也很重要,因爲公司不能用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬的現金。雖然白雲山藥品控股在其資產負債表上有淨現金,但查看其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力仍然很重要,以幫助我們理解該公司是如何快速建立(或侵蝕)現金餘額的。查看最近三年,白雲山藥品控股的自由現金流佔其EBIT的46%,這低於我們的預期。這種現金轉化能力的弱化使得處理債務變得更加困難。

Summing Up

總之

We could understand if investors are concerned about Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥3.98b. So we don't have any problem with Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Guangzhou Baiyunshan Pharmaceutical Holdings (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) you should know about.

我們可以理解如果投資者對白雲山的負債感到擔憂,但令人放心的是它擁有淨現金38.98億人民幣。 所以我們對白雲山使用債務沒有任何問題。 在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個好的起點。 然而,並非所有的投資風險都在資產負債表內 - 遠非如此。 這些風險可能很難發現。 每家公司都有這些風險,我們已經發現了 2 個白雲山的警告信號 (其中 1 個讓人有些擔憂!)你應該知道。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有興趣投資能夠在不負債的情況下增長利潤的企業,請查看這份免費列表,其中列出了在資產負債表上擁有淨現金的成長型企業。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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