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Despite Shrinking by HK$1.4b in the Past Week, COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation (HKG:1138) Shareholders Are Still up 141% Over 3 Years

Despite Shrinking by HK$1.4b in the Past Week, COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation (HKG:1138) Shareholders Are Still up 141% Over 3 Years

儘管上週縮水了14億港元,中遠海能(HKG:1138)的股東仍然在過去3年中增長了141%。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/23 09:42

It hasn't been the best quarter for COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation Co., Ltd. (HKG:1138) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 25% in that time. But that doesn't undermine the rather lovely longer-term return, if you measure over the last three years. Indeed, the share price is up a very strong 119% in that time. To some, the recent share price pullback wouldn't be surprising after such a good run. If the business can perform well for years to come, then the recent drop could be an opportunity.

對於中遠海能(HKG:1138)的股東來說,這個季度並不好,因爲股價在這段時間內下跌了25%。但是,如果你以過去三年爲衡量標準,這絲毫不影響其相當不錯的長期回報。在此期間,股價上漲了非常強勁的119%。對一些人來說,經歷了這麼一段良好的表現後,最近股價的回撤併不令人驚訝。如果這個業務在未來幾年能表現良好,那麼最近的下跌可能是一個機會。

While this past week has detracted from the company's three-year return, let's look at the recent trends of the underlying business and see if the gains have been in alignment.

儘管過去一週公司的三年回報率有所下降,但讓我們看看基礎業務的最近趨勢,以確定收益是否與之相符。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

雖然市場是一個強大的定價機制,但股價反映的不僅僅是企業的基本業績,還有投資者的情緒。一個不完美但簡單的方式來考慮公司市場意識的變化是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的變化。

COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation became profitable within the last three years. That kind of transition can be an inflection point that justifies a strong share price gain, just as we have seen here.

中遠海能在過去三年內實現了盈利。這種轉變可以成爲一個轉折點,證明強勁的股價增長是合理的,正如我們在這裏所看到的那樣。

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

您可以在下面的圖片中查看每股收益如何隨時間變化(單擊圖表以查看確切的價值)。

big
SEHK:1138 Earnings Per Share Growth November 23rd 2024
港交所:1138 每股收益增長 2024年11月23日

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

我們很高興地報告,該公司CEO的薪酬比同等資本化公司的大多數CEO都要適度。關注CEO的薪酬很重要,但更重要的問題是公司能否在未來年份中增長收益。在買入或賣出股票之前,我們始終建議仔細審查歷史增長趨勢,此處提供歷史增長趨勢。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation the TSR over the last 3 years was 141%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在看投資回報時,考慮總股東回報(TSR)與股價回報之間的差異非常重要。TSR包含了任何分拆或折扣融資的價值,以及任何分紅,假設這些分紅被再投資。因此,對於那些支付慷慨分紅的公司,TSR通常遠高於股價回報。我們注意到,中遠海能在過去三年的TSR爲141%,這優於上述的股價回報。而且可以猜測,分紅派息很大程度上解釋了這種差異!

A Different Perspective

另一種看法

While the broader market gained around 15% in the last year, COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation shareholders lost 9.7% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 19%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

雖然大盤在過去一年上漲了約15%,但中遠海能的股東損失了9.7%(即使包括分紅)。即便是優質股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在對此感興趣之前,看到企業基本面指標的改善。長期投資者可能不會太沮喪,因爲他們在五年內每年賺取了19%。如果基本數據持續表明長期可持續增長,目前的拋售可能是值得考慮的機會。我發現長遠來看股價作爲企業表現的代理指標非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,總是存在的投資風險的陰霾。我們已經識別出中遠海能的三個警告信號,理解它們應該是您投資過程的一部分。

Of course COSCO SHIPPING Energy Transportation may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

當然,中遠海能可能不是最適合買入的股票。所以您可能希望查看這份免費的成長股票集合。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引述的市場回報率反映了目前在香港交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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