Dream Finders Homes (NYSE:DFH) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Dream Finders Homes (NYSE:DFH) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (NYSE:DFH) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
由伯克希爾哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄直言不諱地表示:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」 因此,在考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,夢找者家園公司(紐交所:DFH)在其資產負債表上確實有債務。但股東應該擔心其債務的使用嗎?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但是如果企業無力償還債權人,那麼它就存在於債權人的掌控之下。資本主義的組成部分就是「創造性破壞」過程,其中失敗的企業將被銀行家無情地清算。然而,更常見的情況是公司必須以極低的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東權益,以恢復其資產負債表的穩定。當然,很多公司使用債務爲了增長,沒有任何負面的後果。當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,首先要看現金和債務的總體情況。
What Is Dream Finders Homes's Debt?
夢找者家園的債務是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Dream Finders Homes had US$1.46b of debt, an increase on US$849.1m, over one year. On the flip side, it has US$204.9m in cash leading to net debt of about US$1.25b.
你可以點擊下面的圖標查看歷史數據,但數據顯示截至2024年9月,夢找者家園擁有14.6億美金的債務,較84910萬美金增長了一年。另一方面,它擁有20490萬美金的現金,因此淨債務約爲12.5億美金。
How Healthy Is Dream Finders Homes' Balance Sheet?
夢找者房屋的資產負債表健康嗎?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Dream Finders Homes had liabilities of US$355.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.68b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$204.9m and US$30.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.80b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看到,夢找者房屋的流動負債爲35560萬美元,流動負債爲16.8億美元。另一方面,它擁有20490萬美元的現金和3020萬美元的應收賬款。因此,它的負債總額達18億美元,超過了其現金和短期應收賬款的總和。
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$2.86b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Dream Finders Homes' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
與其28.6億美元的市值相比,這一赤字相當可觀,因此確實表明股東應關注夢找者房屋的債務使用情況。如果其貸方要求它增強資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重的攤薄。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
爲了衡量公司債務相對於其收入的規模,我們計算其淨債務除以利息、稅收、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),並計算其利息前稅利潤(EBIT)除以利息支出(其利息覆蓋率)。這樣,我們考慮了債務的絕對金額,以及支付的利率。
Dream Finders Homes's net debt is 3.0 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. But its EBIT was about 1k times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Notably Dream Finders Homes's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Dream Finders Homes's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
夢找者房屋的淨債務是其EBITDA的3.0倍,這是一個顯著但仍然合理的槓桿水平。但其EBIT大約是0.1萬倍的利息費用,暗示公司實際上並沒有因此而支付高昂的維持債務成本。即使低成本證明不可持續,這依然是一個好兆頭。值得注意的是,夢找者房屋的EBIT在過去一年中基本平穩。理想情況下,它可以通過啓動盈利增長來減少其債務負擔。當分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是重點關注的領域。但事實上,未來的盈利將比其他任何因素都更能判斷夢找者房屋未來是否能維持健康的資產負債表。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費的報告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Dream Finders Homes recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
但我們的最終考慮同樣重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要切實的現金。因此,我們顯然需要查看EBIT是否能夠帶來相應的自由現金流。在過去三年中,夢找者房屋的自由現金流總計爲負。對那些自由現金流不可靠的公司而言,債務風險更大,因此股東應該希望過去的支出能在未來產生自由現金流。
Our View
我們的觀點
Dream Finders Homes's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and level of total liabilities definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Dream Finders Homes is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Dream Finders Homes (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Dream Finders Homes 將EBIT轉換爲自由現金流及其總負債水平確實讓我們覺得擔憂。 但好消息是,它似乎能夠輕鬆用EBIT覆蓋其利息支出。 當我們考慮所有討論過的因素時,我們認爲 Dream Finders Homes 在債務使用上存在一定風險。因此,雖然這種槓桿確實提高了股本收益率,但我們不希望其進一步增加。 在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是重點關注的領域。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們發現了 3 個 Dream Finders Homes 的警告信號(2 個可能是嚴重的!),在這裏投資之前你應該了解這些風險。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。