Dream Finders Homes (NYSE:DFH) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
Dream Finders Homes (NYSE:DFH) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Dream Finders Homes, Inc. (NYSE:DFH) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,Dream Finders Homes, Inc.(紐約證券交易所代碼:DFH)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時危險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但如果企業無法還清貸款人,那麼債務就任由他們擺佈。資本主義的重要組成部分是 「創造性破壞」 的過程,在這個過程中,倒閉的企業將被銀行家無情地清算。但是,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,許多公司使用債務爲增長提供資金,而不會產生任何負面影響。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務。
What Is Dream Finders Homes's Debt?
Dream Finders Homes 的債務是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Dream Finders Homes had US$1.46b of debt, an increase on US$849.1m, over one year. On the flip side, it has US$204.9m in cash leading to net debt of about US$1.25b.
你可以點擊下圖查看歷史數字,但它顯示,截至2024年9月,Dream Finders Homes在一年內有14.6億美元的債務,比8.491億美元有所增加。另一方面,它擁有2.049億美元的現金,淨負債約爲12.5億美元。
How Healthy Is Dream Finders Homes' Balance Sheet?
Dream Finders Homes的資產負債表有多健康?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Dream Finders Homes had liabilities of US$355.6m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.68b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$204.9m and US$30.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.80b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,Dream Finders Homes的負債爲3.556億美元,一年後到期的負債爲16.8億美元。另一方面,它有2.049億美元的現金和價值3,020萬美元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多出18.0億美元。
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$2.86b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Dream Finders Homes' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
相對於其28.6億美元的市值,這一赤字相當可觀,因此這確實表明股東應密切關注Dream Finders Homes對債務的使用。如果其貸款人要求其支撐資產負債表,股東可能會面臨嚴重的稀釋。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
爲了擴大公司相對於收益的負債規模,我們計算其淨負債除以其扣除利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA)和其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)除以其利息支出(利息保障)。這樣,我們既要考慮債務的絕對數量,也要考慮爲其支付的利率。
Dream Finders Homes's net debt is 3.0 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. But its EBIT was about 1k times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Notably Dream Finders Homes's EBIT was pretty flat over the last year. Ideally it can diminish its debt load by kick-starting earnings growth. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Dream Finders Homes's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Dream Finders Homes的淨負債是其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的3.0倍,這是一個可觀但仍然合理的槓桿率。但是其息稅前利潤約爲利息支出的0.1萬倍,這意味着該公司並沒有爲維持這一債務水平付出高昂的代價。即使事實證明低成本是不可持續的,這也是一個好兆頭。值得注意的是,Dream Finders Homes的息稅前利潤與去年持平。理想情況下,它可以通過啓動收益增長來減少債務負擔。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,未來的收益將決定Dream Finders Homes未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Dream Finders Homes recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is far more risky for companies with unreliable free cash flow, so shareholders should be hoping that the past expenditure will produce free cash flow in the future.
但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。因此,我們顯然需要研究該息稅前利潤是否會帶來相應的自由現金流。在過去的三年中,Dream Finders Homes的總自由現金流爲負。對於自由現金流不可靠的公司來說,債務風險要大得多,因此股東應該希望過去的支出能夠在未來產生自由現金流。
Our View
我們的觀點
Dream Finders Homes's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and level of total liabilities definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Dream Finders Homes is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Dream Finders Homes (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
在我們看來,Dream Finders Homes將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流和總負債水平無疑對其造成了壓力。但好消息是,它似乎能夠輕鬆地用息稅前利潤支付利息支出。當我們考慮所討論的所有因素時,在我們看來,Dream Finders Homes在使用債務方面正在冒一些風險。因此,儘管這種槓桿率確實提高了股本回報率,但我們真的不希望看到它從現在開始增加。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。例如,我們發現了 Dream Finders Homes 的 3 個警告標誌(2 個可能很嚴重!)在這裏投資之前,您應該注意這一點。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果你是那種喜歡在沒有債務負擔的情況下購買股票的投資者,那麼請立即查看我們的獨家淨現金增長股票清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。