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Has Zhejiang NHU Company Ltd.'s (SZSE:002001) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

Has Zhejiang NHU Company Ltd.'s (SZSE:002001) Impressive Stock Performance Got Anything to Do With Its Fundamentals?

新和成有限公司(深交所代碼:002001)令人印象深刻的股票表現與其基本面有關係嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/25 08:37

Zhejiang NHU's (SZSE:002001) stock is up by a considerable 12% over the past three months. We wonder if and what role the company's financials play in that price change as a company's long-term fundamentals usually dictate market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Zhejiang NHU's ROE.

新和成(SZSE:002001)的股票在過去三個月上漲了相當可觀的12%。我們想知道公司的財務狀況在這一價格變化中扮演了什麼角色,因爲公司的長期基本面通常決定市場結果。在本文中,我們決定關注新和成的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股東必須考慮股本回報率或ROE,因爲它告訴他們公司如何有效地重新投資他們的資本。 簡而言之,ROE顯示每美元股東投資所產生的利潤。

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

如何計算淨資產收益率?

The formula for return on equity is:

權益回報率的計算公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營) ÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhejiang NHU is:

根據上述公式,新和成的roe爲:

17% = CN¥4.6b ÷ CN¥28b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

17% = CN¥46億 ÷ CN¥280億(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.17 in profit.

「回報率」是年利潤,可以這樣理解:對於每1元股東資本,公司實現了0.17元的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解了roe衡量公司利潤產生效率的程度。現在我們需要評估公司爲未來增長而重新投資或「保留」的利潤數量,然後了解公司的增長潛力。假設其他一切不變,roe和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高,而與不一定具備這些特徵的公司相比,這種增長率的相對性就越高。

Zhejiang NHU's Earnings Growth And 17% ROE

新和成的盈利增長和17%的roe

At first glance, Zhejiang NHU seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 6.2%. Despite this, Zhejiang NHU's five year net income growth was quite low averaging at only 3.5%. That's a bit unexpected from a company which has such a high rate of return. We reckon that a low growth, when returns are quite high could be the result of certain circumstances like low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

乍一看,新和成似乎擁有不錯的roe。此外,該公司的roe與行業平均水平6.2%相比相當不錯。儘管如此,新和成的五年淨利潤增長率僅爲3.5%,相當低。這對於一家擁有如此高回報率的公司來說有些意外。我們認爲,在回報率較高的情況下,低增長可能是由於某些情況造成的,例如低收益留存或資本配置不當。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Zhejiang NHU's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 4.9% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

接下來,在與行業淨利潤增長進行比較時,我們發現新和成報告的增長率低於過去幾年行業增長4.9%,這並不是我們希望看到的。

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SZSE:002001 Past Earnings Growth November 25th 2024
SZSE:002001 過去的盈利增長 2024年11月25日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 002001? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

盈利增長是股票估值的一個重要因素。投資者應該嘗試判斷預期的盈利增長或下降,無論是哪種情況,是否已經被市場定價。這將有助於他們判斷股票的未來是光明還是黯淡。市場是否已經考慮了002001的未來前景?您可以在我們最新的內在價值信息圖研究報告中找到答案。

Is Zhejiang NHU Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

新和成是否有效地再投資其利潤?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 44% (implying that the company retains the remaining 56% of its income), Zhejiang NHU's earnings growth was quite low. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

儘管新和成三年的中位派息率爲44%(這意味着公司保留了56%的收入),但其盈利增長卻相當低。因此,在這方面可能還有其他解釋。例如,公司業務可能正在惡化。

Moreover, Zhejiang NHU has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 49%. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 17%.

此外,新和成已經連續十年或更長時間支付分紅,表明管理層可能認爲股東更喜歡分紅而非盈利增長。我們最新的分析師數據顯示,未來三年該公司的派息率預計約爲49%。因此,該公司的未來roe也不預計會有太大改變,分析師預測的roe爲17%。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we feel that Zhejiang NHU certainly does have some positive factors to consider. However, given the high ROE and high profit retention, we would expect the company to be delivering strong earnings growth, but that isn't the case here. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering its growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings are expected to accelerate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總體來說,我們認爲新和成確實有一些積極因素值得考慮。但是,考慮到高roe和高利潤留存,我們本預期公司能夠實現強勁的收益增長,但事實並非如此。這表明可能存在某種外部威脅影響業務,阻礙其發展。也就是說,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,公司收益預計將加速增長。要了解更多關於該公司最新分析師的預測,請查看這份公司分析師預測的可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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