Here's Why Qunabox Group (HKG:917) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Here's Why Qunabox Group (HKG:917) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Qunabox Group Limited (HKG:917) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:「波動性遠非風險的代名詞。」因此,當你評估公司的風險時,看來聰明的貨幣知道債務(通常涉及破產)是一個非常重要的因素。我們注意到,Qunabox集團有限公司(HKG: 917)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?
When Is Debt A Problem?
債務何時會成爲問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。資本主義的重要組成部分是 「創造性破壞」 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司會永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款機構迫使他們以不利的價格籌集資金。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們研究債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。
What Is Qunabox Group's Debt?
Qunabox 集團的債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Qunabox Group had debt of CN¥342.6m at the end of June 2024, a reduction from CN¥1.35b over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥998.7m in cash, leading to a CN¥656.1m net cash position.
您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年6月底,Qunabox集團的債務爲34260萬元人民幣,較一年內的13.5元人民幣有所減少。但另一方面,它也有99870萬元人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況爲65610萬元人民幣。
How Strong Is Qunabox Group's Balance Sheet?
Qunabox 集團的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Qunabox Group had liabilities of CN¥428.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥15.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥998.7m as well as receivables valued at CN¥506.3m due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥1.06b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
我們可以從最新的資產負債表中看出,Qunabox集團的負債爲42820萬元人民幣,一年後到期的負債爲1540萬元人民幣。除了這些債務外,它還有99870萬元人民幣的現金以及價值50630萬元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它的流動資產實際上比總負債多出10.6元人民幣。
This surplus suggests that Qunabox Group has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Simply put, the fact that Qunabox Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
這種盈餘表明Qunabox集團的資產負債表比較保守,可以毫不費力地消除債務。簡而言之,Qunabox集團的現金多於債務這一事實可以說是一個很好的跡象,表明它可以安全地管理債務。
On top of that, Qunabox Group grew its EBIT by 52% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Qunabox Group will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
最重要的是,Qunabox集團在過去十二個月中將其息稅前利潤增長了52%,這種增長將使其更容易處理債務。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;因爲Qunabox集團需要收益來償還債務。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Qunabox Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Qunabox Group created free cash flow amounting to 11% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
但是我們最終的考慮因素也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。Qunabox Group的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業如何將其利息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去的三年中,Qunabox集團創造了相當於其息稅前利潤的11%的自由現金流,表現平淡無奇。對我們來說,低現金轉換率會引發一點偏執狂,那就是償還債務的能力。
Summing Up
總結
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Qunabox Group has CN¥656.1m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 52% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Qunabox Group's use of debt is risky. Even though Qunabox Group lost money on the bottom line, its positive EBIT suggests the business itself has potential. So you might want to check out how earnings have been trending over the last few years.
儘管調查公司的債務總是明智的,但在這種情況下,Qunabox集團的淨現金爲65610萬元人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。我們喜歡去年息稅前利潤同比增長52%的樣子。因此,我們認爲Qunabox集團使用債務沒有風險。儘管Qunabox集團在利潤上蒙受了損失,但其正的息稅前利潤表明該業務本身具有潛力。因此,您可能需要查看過去幾年的收入趨勢。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。
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