Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation Limited (SHSE:601928)?
Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation Limited (SHSE:601928)?
With its stock down 6.9% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media (SHSE:601928). But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's ROE today.
在過去三個月裏,股票下跌了6.9%,很容易就忽視了江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒(SHSE:601928)。但是如果你仔細觀察,你可能會發現其強勁的財務狀況可能意味着,在市場通常會獎勵財務健康良好的公司的情況下,這隻股票在長期內有潛在的增值空間。特別是,今天我們將關注江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的ROE。
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.
淨資產收益率(ROE)是一項測試,旨在評估公司如何有效地增長其價值並管理投資者資金。換句話說,它是一個盈利能力比率,衡量由公司股東提供的資本的回報率。
How Is ROE Calculated?
淨資產收益率怎麼計算?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
淨資產收益率可以通過以下公式計算:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股東權益回報率 = 凈利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media is:
因此,根據上述公式,江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的ROE爲:
13% = CN¥2.5b ÷ CN¥19b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
13% = CN¥25億 ÷ CN¥190億 (基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月數據)。
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.13 in profit.
「回報」是過去十二個月稅後賺取的金額。 另一種理解是,對於每1元人民幣的股權,公司能夠賺取0.13元人民幣的利潤。
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
到目前爲止,我們已經了解到ROE是公司盈利能力的一種衡量標準。根據公司選擇重新投資或「留存」的利潤比例,我們能夠評估公司未來產生利潤的能力。其他條件不變的情況下,ROE和盈利留存越高,相較於不具備這些特徵的公司,企業的增長率越高。
A Side By Side comparison of Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's Earnings Growth And 13% ROE
江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的收益增長與13%的ROE的並排比較
At first glance, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media seems to have a decent ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 6.5%. This certainly adds some context to Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's decent 14% net income growth seen over the past five years.
乍一看,江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的ROE似乎表現不錯。此外,公司的ROE與行業平均水平6.5%相比也相當有利。這無疑給江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒過去五年14%的凈利潤增長提供了一些背景。
We then compared Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 3.3% in the same 5-year period.
我們將江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的凈利潤增長與行業進行了比較,欣慰地發現公司的增長數據高於行業,該行業在同樣的五年期間增長率爲3.3%。

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
盈利增長是評估股票時需要考慮的重要指標。投資者應該嘗試確定預期的盈利增長或下降,無論哪種情況,是否已經反映在價格中。通過這樣做,他們將了解到該股票是進入了清澈的沃特世,還是面臨沼澤般的水域。江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒與其他公司相比是否被合理估值?這三個估值指標可能有助於您做出決定。
Is Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?
江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒是否有效地將利潤再投資?
Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 52%, meaning that it is left with only 48% to reinvest into its business. This implies that the company has been able to achieve decent earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.
江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的三年中位數派息率爲52%,這意味着它只能留下48%用於再投資於其業務。這表明該公司儘管將大部分利潤返還給股東,但仍能實現可觀的盈利增長。
Moreover, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 63% over the next three years. Consequently, the higher expected payout ratio explains the decline in the company's expected ROE (to 9.6%) over the same period.
此外,江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒堅定地決定繼續與股東分享其利潤,這可以從其至少十年的派息歷史中推斷出來。查看當前的分析師共識數據,我們可以看到,預計該公司的未來派息率將在未來三年內上升至63%。因此,預期的更高派息率解釋了公司預期ROE在同一時期內的下降(至9.6%)。
Conclusion
結論
In total, we are pretty happy with Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's performance. Especially the high ROE, Which has contributed to the impressive growth seen in earnings. Despite the company reinvesting only a small portion of its profits, it still has managed to grow its earnings so that is appreciable. Having said that, on studying current analyst estimates, we were concerned to see that while the company has grown its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to shrink in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
總體而言,我們對江蘇鳳凰出版傳媒的表現非常滿意。特別是高ROE,爲收益的顯著增長做出了貢獻。儘管公司僅將一小部分利潤進行再投資,但仍然成功實現了收益的增長,這是值得讚賞的。 話雖如此,研究當前分析師的預估時,我們擔心看到儘管公司過去實現了收益增長,但分析師預計未來收益會縮減。這些分析師的預期是基於行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面呢?點擊這裏進入我們的分析師對該公司的預測頁面。
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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。