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Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium Industry Co.,LTD's (SZSE:002428) Stock Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Weak: What Implications Could This Have On The Stock?

Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium Industry Co.,LTD's (SZSE:002428) Stock Going Strong But Fundamentals Look Weak: What Implications Could This Have On The Stock?

雲南鍺業股份有限公司 (SZSE:002428) 的股票表現強勁,但基本面看來較弱:這對股票可能產生什麼影響?
Simply Wall St ·  11/24 20:44

Most readers would already be aware that Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD's (SZSE:002428) stock increased significantly by 66% over the past three months. We, however wanted to have a closer look at its key financial indicators as the markets usually pay for long-term fundamentals, and in this case, they don't look very promising. Specifically, we decided to study Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD's ROE in this article.

大多數讀者已經意識到,雲南臨滄新源鍺業有限公司(深圳證券交易所:002428)的股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了66%。但是,我們想仔細研究其關鍵財務指標,因爲市場通常會爲長期基本面買單,在這種情況下,它們看起來並不十分樂觀。具體而言,我們決定在本文中研究雲南臨滄新源鍺業有限公司的投資回報率。

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

股本回報率或投資回報率是對公司增值和管理投資者資金的有效性的考驗。簡而言之,投資回報率顯示了每美元從其股東投資中產生的利潤。

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE 是如何計算的?

The formula for ROE is:

ROE 的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股本回報率 = 淨利潤(來自持續經營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD is:

因此,根據上述公式,雲南臨滄新源鍺業有限公司的投資回報率爲:

2.6% = CN¥40m ÷ CN¥1.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

2.6% = 4000萬元人民幣 ÷ 15元人民幣(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.03 in profit.

「回報」 是過去十二個月的稅後收入。另一種思考方式是,每持有價值1元人民幣的股權,該公司就能獲得0.03元人民幣的利潤。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

投資回報率與收益增長之間有什麼關係?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

到目前爲止,我們已經了解到,投資回報率是衡量公司盈利能力的指標。然後,根據公司對這些利潤進行再投資或 「保留」 的金額及其有效性,我們就能評估公司的盈利增長潛力。一般而言,在其他條件相同的情況下,股本回報率和利潤保留率高的公司比不具備這些屬性的公司的增長率更高。

A Side By Side comparison of Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD's Earnings Growth And 2.6% ROE

雲南臨滄新源鍺業有限公司的收益增長和2.6%的投資回報率的並排比較

As you can see, Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD's ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 7.5%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. However, the moderate 7.3% net income growth seen by Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD over the past five years is definitely a positive. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

如你所見,雲南臨滄新源鍺業有限公司的投資回報率看起來相當疲軟。即使與7.5%的行業平均投資回報率相比,該公司的投資回報率也相當慘淡。但是,雲南臨滄新源鍺業有限公司在過去五年中實現了7.3%的溫和淨收入增長,這絕對是積極的。我們認爲這裏可能還有其他因素在起作用。例如,該公司的派息率很低或管理得很高效。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 9.8% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

接下來,與行業淨收入增長相比,我們發現雲南臨滄新源鍺業有限公司報告的增長低於過去幾年9.8%的行業增長,這不是我們希望看到的。

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SZSE:002428 Past Earnings Growth November 25th 2024
SZSE: 002428 過去的收益增長 2024 年 11 月 25 日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

收益增長是對股票進行估值時要考慮的重要指標。對於投資者來說,重要的是要知道市場是否對公司的預期收益增長(或下降)進行了定價。通過這樣做,他們將知道股票是走向清澈的藍色海水還是沼澤水域在等着呢。與其他公司相比,雲南臨滄新源鍺業有限公司的估值是否合理?這3種估值指標可能會幫助您做出決定。

Is Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

雲南臨滄新源鍺業有限公司是否在有效利用其利潤?

The really high three-year median payout ratio of 240% for Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD suggests that the company is paying its shareholders more than what it is earning. In spite of this, the company was able to grow its earnings respectably, as we saw above. Although, the high payout ratio is certainly something we would keep an eye on if the company is not able to keep up its growth, or if business deteriorates. Our risks dashboard should have the 2 risks we have identified for Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD.

雲南臨滄新源鍺業有限公司的三年派息率中位數確實很高,爲240%,這表明該公司向股東支付的薪水超過了其收入。儘管如此,正如我們在上面看到的那樣,該公司的收益還是實現了可觀的增長。但是,如果公司無法保持增長或業務惡化,高派息率肯定是我們會關注的問題。我們的風險儀表板應包含我們爲雲南臨滄新源鍺業有限公司確定的兩種風險。

Moreover, Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years.

此外,雲南臨滄新源鍺業有限公司決心繼續與股東分享利潤,這是我們從其至少十年派息的悠久歷史中推斷出來的。

Conclusion

結論

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Yunnan Lincang Xinyuan Germanium IndustryLTD. While the company has posted decent earnings growth, the company is retaining little to no profits and is reinvesting those profits at a low rate of return. This makes us doubtful if that growth could continue, especially if by any chance the business is faced with any sort of risk. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

總體而言,在就雲南臨滄新源鍺業有限公司做出任何決定之前,我們將非常謹慎。儘管該公司公佈了可觀的收益增長,但該公司幾乎沒有保留利潤,並且正在以較低的回報率對這些利潤進行再投資。這使我們懷疑這種增長能否繼續,尤其是在業務面臨任何風險的情況下。話雖如此,從分析師目前的估計來看,我們發現該公司的收益有望增強。這些分析師的預期是基於對該行業的廣泛預期,還是基於公司的基本面?點擊此處進入我們分析師對公司的預測頁面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

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