Here's Why Emerson Electric (NYSE:EMR) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Here's Why Emerson Electric (NYSE:EMR) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Emerson Electric Co. (NYSE:EMR) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
由伯克希爾·哈撒韋公司的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李露對此毫不掩飾,他說:「最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受永久的資本損失。」當你檢查公司的資產負債表的風險時,考慮它的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲企業倒閉時通常會涉及債務。重要的是,艾默生電氣公司(紐約證券交易所代碼:EMR)確實有債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時危險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務是幫助企業增長的工具,但是如果企業無法償還貸款,那麼債務就任其擺佈。資本主義的組成部分是 「創造性破壞」 過程,在這種過程中,倒閉的企業被銀行家無情地清算。儘管這種情況並不常見,但我們經常會看到負債公司永久稀釋股東,因爲貸款人迫使他們以不良价格籌集資金。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,尤其是當它以高回報率進行再投資的能力取代公司的稀釋時。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。
What Is Emerson Electric's Net Debt?
艾默生電氣的淨負債是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Emerson Electric had debt of US$7.69b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from US$8.16b over a year. On the flip side, it has US$3.59b in cash leading to net debt of about US$4.10b.
您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳細信息,該圖片顯示,截至2024年9月底,艾默生電氣的債務爲76.9億美元,較去年同期的81.6億美元有所減少。另一方面,它擁有35.9億美元的現金,淨負債約爲41.0億美元。
How Healthy Is Emerson Electric's Balance Sheet?
艾默生電氣的資產負債表有多健康?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Emerson Electric had liabilities of US$5.74b due within a year, and liabilities of US$11.0b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$3.59b in cash and US$4.01b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$9.14b.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,艾默生電氣的負債爲57.4億美元,此後到期的負債爲110億美元。與此相抵消的是,它有35.9億美元的現金和40.1億美元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債超過其現金和(短期)應收賬款總額91.4億美元。
Since publicly traded Emerson Electric shares are worth a very impressive total of US$74.5b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.
由於公開交易的艾默生電氣股票總價值爲745億美元,非常可觀,因此這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。但是,有足夠的負債,我們肯定會建議股東今後繼續監督資產負債表。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
我們通過以下方法來衡量公司的債務負擔與其盈利能力:將其淨負債除以利息、稅項、折舊和攤銷前的收益(EBITDA),並計算其利息和稅前收益(EBIT)支付利息支出(利息保障)的難易程度。這樣,我們既考慮債務的絕對數量,也考慮爲債務支付的利率。
Emerson Electric's net debt is only 0.89 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 33.9 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. The good news is that Emerson Electric has increased its EBIT by 3.9% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Emerson Electric's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
艾默生電氣的淨負債僅爲其息稅折舊攤銷前利潤的0.89倍。其息稅前利潤可支付高達33.9倍的利息支出。因此,你可以爭辯說,它受到債務的威脅並不比大象受到老鼠的威脅更大。好消息是,艾默生電氣在十二個月內將其息稅前利潤增長了3.9%,這應該可以緩解對債務償還的任何擔憂。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,未來收益將決定艾默生電氣未來維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Emerson Electric recorded free cash flow worth 69% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。因此,值得檢查一下該息稅前利潤中有多少是由自由現金流支持的。在最近三年中,艾默生電氣錄得的自由現金流佔其息稅前利潤的69%,鑑於自由現金流不包括利息和稅收,這幾乎是正常的。這種冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。
Our View
我們的觀點
Happily, Emerson Electric's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Emerson Electric takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Emerson Electric you should know about.
令人高興的是,艾默生電氣令人印象深刻的利息保障意味着它在債務上佔了上風。這只是好消息的開始,因爲它將息稅前利潤轉換爲自由現金流也非常令人鼓舞。考慮到所有這些數據,在我們看來,艾默生電氣對債務採取了相當明智的態度。這意味着他們正在承擔更多的風險,希望提高股東的回報。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。這些風險可能很難發現。每家公司都有它們,我們發現了你應該知道的艾默生電氣的3個警告信號。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
歸根結底,通常最好專注於沒有淨負債的公司。您可以訪問我們的此類公司的特別名單(所有公司都有利潤增長的記錄)。它是免費的。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。