We Think CBAK Energy Technology's (NASDAQ:CBAT) Robust Earnings Are Conservative
We Think CBAK Energy Technology's (NASDAQ:CBAT) Robust Earnings Are Conservative
CBAK Energy Technology, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:CBAT) earnings announcement last week was disappointing for investors, despite the decent profit numbers. We did some digging and actually think they are being unnecessarily pessimistic.
cBak 能源科技有限公司's(納斯達克股票代碼:CBAT)上週公佈的業績令投資者失望,儘管利潤數字不錯。我們進行了一些挖掘,實際上認爲他們過於悲觀。
A Closer Look At CBAK Energy Technology's Earnings
仔細看看 cBak 能源科技的收益
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
正如金融迷已經知道的那樣,現金流的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與利潤匹配程度的關鍵指標。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時期的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均運營資產。這個比率告訴我們,一家公司的利潤中有多少沒有自由現金流的支持。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,負的應計比率對公司來說是正數,而正的應計比率是負數。儘管應計比率高於零並不令人擔憂,但我們確實認爲,當公司的應計比率相對較高時,值得注意。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年發表的一篇論文,「應計額較高的公司未來的利潤往往會降低」。
CBAK Energy Technology has an accrual ratio of -0.19 for the year to September 2024. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of US$38m, well over the US$11.5m it reported in profit. Given that CBAK Energy Technology had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of US$38m would seem to be a step in the right direction. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
截至2024年9月的一年中,cBak能源科技的應計比率爲-0.19。因此,其法定收入大大低於其自由現金流。事實上,在過去的十二個月中,它報告的自由現金流爲3,800萬美元,遠遠超過其報告的利潤1150萬美元。鑑於CBak Energy Technology在前一同期的自由現金流爲負,過去十二個月的3800萬美元業績似乎是朝着正確方向邁出的一步。但是,這還不是要考慮的全部。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,從而影響了應計比率。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
這可能會讓你想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以點擊此處查看根據他們的估計描繪未來盈利能力的交互式圖表。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
不尋常的物品如何影響利潤?
CBAK Energy Technology's profit was reduced by unusual items worth US$9.4m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. This is what you'd expect to see where a company has a non-cash charge reducing paper profits. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. CBAK Energy Technology took a rather significant hit from unusual items in the year to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.
在過去的十二個月中,CBak Energy Technology的利潤因價值940萬美元的不尋常項目而減少,這有助於其實現高現金轉化率,其不尋常的項目就反映了這一點。這就是你所期望看到的公司的非現金費用會減少紙面利潤的情況。看到不尋常的項目使公司利潤付出代價從來都不是一件好事,但從好的方面來看,情況可能遲早會好轉。我們調查了數千家上市公司,發現不尋常的物品本質上往往是一次性的。鑑於這些單列項目被認爲不尋常,這並不奇怪。在截至2024年9月的一年中,CBak能源科技因不尋常的項目而遭受了相當大的打擊。在其他條件相同的情況下,這可能會使法定利潤看起來比其基本盈利能力差。
Our Take On CBAK Energy Technology's Profit Performance
我們對cBak能源科技盈利表現的看法
Considering both CBAK Energy Technology's accrual ratio and its unusual items, we think its statutory earnings are unlikely to exaggerate the company's underlying earnings power. Based on these factors, we think CBAK Energy Technology's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or probably even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing CBAK Energy Technology at this point in time. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for CBAK Energy Technology you should be aware of.
考慮到cBak Energy Technology的應計比率及其不尋常的項目,我們認爲其法定收益不太可能誇大公司的基礎盈利能力。基於這些因素,我們認爲CBak Energy Technology的潛在盈利潛力與法定利潤看上去一樣好,甚至可能更好!因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但考慮CBak Energy Technology目前面臨的風險同樣重要。一個很好的例子:我們已經發現了兩個你應該注意的CBak能源科技警告信號。
After our examination into the nature of CBAK Energy Technology's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
在我們研究了CBak Energy Technology的利潤性質之後,我們對該公司持樂觀態度。但是,還有很多其他方法可以讓你對公司的看法。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。因此,你可能希望看到這份擁有高股本回報率的公司的免費集合,或者這份內部所有權高的股票清單。
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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。