CN Vs. CP Rail: Which Is the Better Transportation Stock for Canadian Investors Heading Into 2025?
CN Vs. CP Rail: Which Is the Better Transportation Stock for Canadian Investors Heading Into 2025?
The rail stocks have been chugging lower in recent months, thanks in part to temporary setbacks (think work stoppages, strikes, etc.). With high barriers to entry into the rail business and the steady, predictable dividend (and earnings) growth trajectories, Canada's top rail stocks seem poised to get back on their feet after suffering a few stumbles of late.
近幾個月來,鐵路股一直在走低,這在一定程度上要歸因於暫時的挫折(比如停工、罷工等)。由於進入鐵路業務的高門檻以及穩定、可預測的股息(和收益)增長軌跡,加拿大頂級鐵路股票在最近經歷了幾次跌跌之後似乎有望重新站起來。
Indeed, the Canadian and U.S. economies need rails to transport massive amounts of goods in order to stay well-oiled. While the odd rail strike, derailment, or even environmental factors like forest fires could take a great deal away from a quarter, I'd argue that it's the long-term game that counts when it comes to the top rails.
事實上,加拿大和美國的經濟需要鐵路來運輸大量貨物,以保持良好的運轉。儘管奇怪的鐵路罷工、出軌,甚至森林大火等環境因素可能會佔用四分之一的時間,但我認爲,對於頂級軌道來說,最重要的是長期的博弈因素。
At the end of the day, trucks cannot step in for the top rails when bulk shipments need to go from one coast to another. Either way, let's have a closer look at Canada's top two rail stocks to see which, if either, is a tempting buy on recent weakness for 2025 and beyond.
歸根結底,當大宗貨物需要從一個海岸運往另一個海岸時,卡車無法進入頂軌。無論哪種方式,讓我們仔細看看加拿大排名前兩的鐵路股,看看由於近期2025年及以後的疲軟,哪些是誘人的買盤(如果有的話)。
It's been a forgettable year for both railways, but as Canada's economy and the TSX Index attempt to heat up in the new year, perhaps value investors may wish to give the following names a second look while they're still down and out.
對於兩家鐵路公司來說,今年都是令人難忘的一年,但隨着加拿大經濟和多倫多證券交易所指數試圖在新的一年中升溫,價值投資者可能希望在以下名字仍處於低迷狀態時重新審視一下。
CN Rail
加拿大國家鐵路
CN Rail (TSX:CNR) stock is ready to end off what's been a relatively muted year. Indeed, some headwinds hurt the quarterly results a bit. While you can't fault management for any setbacks, I think some big changes will be needed if the still-robust railway is to reclaim its title of North America's most efficient railway.
加拿大國家鐵路(多倫多證券交易所股票代碼:CNR)的股票已準備好結束相對低迷的一年。事實上,一些不利因素稍微損害了季度業績。儘管不能指責管理層爲任何挫折,但我認爲,如果這條仍然穩健的鐵路要奪回其北美最高效鐵路的稱號,就需要進行一些重大改革。
Though CN Rail isn't operating poorly, given the unfortunate circumstances (think numerous disruptions), I do believe there is low-hanging fruit to go after to improve upon the rail's efficiency metrics. Either way, I do see ample value in the name today as the stock continues trending lower. Whether the current management team can effectively unlock such value, however, remains the big question going into 2025. Year to date, the stock is down around 7%.
儘管考慮到不幸的情況(比如多次中斷),CN Rail的運營狀況並不差,但我確實相信,要改善鐵路的效率指標,還有一些輕而易舉的成果可以做。無論哪種方式,隨着股票繼續走低,我今天確實認爲這個名字有足夠的價值。但是,當前的管理團隊能否有效釋放這種價值仍然是進入2025年的大問題。今年迄今爲止,該股已下跌約7%。
With a padded 2.22% dividend yield that's scheduled to grow every single year, I'd not be afraid to chase the dividend growth stock on the way down. At $155 per share, I think you're getting a fantastic deal as the railway looks to move past work stoppages and other disruptions that took away from what could have been an up year for the stock.
由於股息收益率爲2.22%,計劃每年增長,因此我不怕在下跌的道路上追逐股息增長股。每股155美元,我認爲你會得到一筆不錯的交易,因爲鐵路希望擺脫停工和其他中斷的影響,而這些中斷影響了該股本來可以上漲的一年。
CP Rail (or CPKC)
CP Rail(或 CPKC)
CP Rail (TSX:CP) has been known as CPKS (Canadian Pacific Kansas City) for a while now. Whatever you still call the firm, it's a dominant rail player that has what it takes to go full speed ahead over the longer term. Going into 2025, though, I'd temper my expectations on the rail firm despite its resilience amid industry headwinds.
CP Rail(多倫多證券交易所股票代碼:CP)被稱爲CPKS(加拿大太平洋堪薩斯城)已有一段時間了。不管你還怎麼稱呼這家公司,它都是一家占主導地位的鐵路公司,從長遠來看,它有能力全速前進。但是,進入2025年,儘管這家鐵路公司在行業不利因素下表現出韌性,但我還是會降低對它的期望。
Though there are potential growth drivers to be had around the Mexican border, I can't say I'm enthused to pay a 28.3 times trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple for CP shares when CNR is going for just 18.4 times trailing P/E. Sure, there's more growth in CP, but I think you're paying way too high a premium to get such growth.
儘管墨西哥邊境周圍有潛在的增長動力,但我不能說我熱衷於爲CP股票支付28.3倍的追蹤市盈率(P/E),而CNR的尾隨市盈率(P/E)僅爲18.4倍。當然,CP還有更多增長,但我認爲你爲實現這種增長付出的溢價太高了。
As such, I view CNR stock as the far better value option in 2025. There's also a nicer dividend (2.22% yield vs. CP's 0.72%) to collect while you wait patiently for the rails to hit the high track again.
因此,我認爲CNR股票是2025年性價比更高的期權。在耐心等待鐵路再次走上高軌時,還有更好的股息可供收取(收益率爲2.22%,CP爲0.72%)。