Is Shandong Sacred Sun Power SourcesLtd (SZSE:002580) A Risky Investment?
Is Shandong Sacred Sun Power SourcesLtd (SZSE:002580) A Risky Investment?
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Shandong Sacred Sun Power Sources Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002580) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
大衛·伊本說得很好:『波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本的永久損失。』當我們考慮一家公司有多風險時,我們總是喜歡觀察它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過重可能導致毀滅。與許多其他公司一樣,聖陽股份有限公司(SZSE:002580)也使用債務。但是,這些債務對股東來說是否值得關注?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務帶來風險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務支撐着企業,直到企業在償還債務時遇到困難,無論是通過新資本還是通過自由現金流。 資本主義的一個組成部分是『創造性毀滅』的過程,在這個過程中,失敗的企業被它們的銀行毫不留情地清算。 但是,較常見(但仍然痛苦)的情景是,它不得不以低價籌集新的股本,從而永久性地稀釋股東的股份。 當然,債務的好處在於,它通常代表着廉價資本,特別是當它替代需要在高回報率下再投資的公司的稀釋時。 當我們考慮一家公司的債務使用時,我們首先會把現金和債務放在一起看。
How Much Debt Does Shandong Sacred Sun Power SourcesLtd Carry?
聖陽股份有限公司承擔了多少債務?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Shandong Sacred Sun Power SourcesLtd had CN¥399.3m of debt, up from CN¥302.8m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥510.8m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥111.5m.
正如您在下方看到的,截止到2024年9月底,聖陽股份有限公司的債務爲39930萬元,較一年前的30280萬元有所上升。點擊圖片查看更多詳情。然而,它有51080萬元的現金來抵消這些債務,從而導致淨現金爲11150萬元。
How Healthy Is Shandong Sacred Sun Power SourcesLtd's Balance Sheet?
山東聖陽股份的資產負債表健康狀況如何?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Shandong Sacred Sun Power SourcesLtd had liabilities of CN¥817.4m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥432.4m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥510.8m in cash and CN¥1.16b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥423.7m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根據最新報告的資產負債表,山東聖陽股份的負債爲81740萬人民幣,12個月內到期,43240萬人民幣爲超過12個月到期的負債。與此相抵消,它有51080萬人民幣的現金和11.6億人民幣的應收賬款,這些賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它實際擁有比總負債多42370萬人民幣的流動資產。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Shandong Sacred Sun Power SourcesLtd could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Shandong Sacred Sun Power SourcesLtd has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
這種短期流動性是一個跡象,表明山東聖陽股份很可能能夠輕鬆償還其債務,因爲其資產負債表遠未吃緊。簡單來說,山東聖陽股份擁有的現金超過債務,通常可以認爲這是一個良好的跡象,表明它能夠安全地管理其債務。
In fact Shandong Sacred Sun Power SourcesLtd's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 30% in the last twelve months. When a company sees its earnings tank, it can sometimes find its relationships with its lenders turn sour. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Shandong Sacred Sun Power SourcesLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
實際上,山東聖陽股份的救命稻草是其低負債水平,因爲其EBIT在過去十二個月內下降了30%。當一家公司盈利暴跌時,它有時會發現與貸款人的關係變得緊張。分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是一個重點。但山東聖陽股份的盈利將影響其未來資產負債表的表現。因此,在考慮債務時,確實值得關注盈利趨勢。點擊這裏查看互動快照。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Shandong Sacred Sun Power SourcesLtd has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last three years, Shandong Sacred Sun Power SourcesLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.
但我們的最終考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司不能用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要真實的現金。雖然山東聖陽股份的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍然值得關注其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們了解它在多快的時間內建立(或減少)現金餘額。在過去三年中,山東聖陽股份的自由現金流總共出現了大幅負值。儘管投資者無疑期待這一局面的逆轉,但這顯然意味着它的債務使用風險更高。
Summing Up
總結
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shandong Sacred Sun Power SourcesLtd has net cash of CN¥111.5m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So although we see some areas for improvement, we're not too worried about Shandong Sacred Sun Power SourcesLtd's balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shandong Sacred Sun Power SourcesLtd .
雖然我們理解投資者對債務的擔憂,但請記住,聖陽股份擁有淨現金爲人民幣11150萬,並且流動資產多於負債。因此,儘管我們看到一些改善的地方,但我們對聖陽股份的資產負債表並不太擔心。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的大多數關於債務的知識。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。爲此,你應該注意到我們發現的聖陽股份的兩個警告信號。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最終,通常更好的是關注沒有淨負債的公司。你可以訪問我們特別列出這些公司的名單(所有公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。
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