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The One-year Decline in Earnings for China Cinda Asset Management HKG:1359) Isn't Encouraging, but Shareholders Are Still up 64% Over That Period

The One-year Decline in Earnings for China Cinda Asset Management HKG:1359) Isn't Encouraging, but Shareholders Are Still up 64% Over That Period

中國信達資產管理(HKG:1359)的一年盈利下滑並不令人鼓舞,但在此期間股東的收益仍然上漲了64%
Simply Wall St ·  11/25 18:36

It might be of some concern to shareholders to see the China Cinda Asset Management Co., Ltd. (HKG:1359) share price down 15% in the last month. But that doesn't change the reality that over twelve months the stock has done really well. After all, the share price is up a market-beating 52% in that time.

上個月,中國信達資產管理有限公司(HKG: 1359)的股價下跌了15%,這可能會引起股東的擔憂。但這並不能改變這樣的現實,即該股在十二個月內表現非常出色。畢竟,當時股價上漲了52%,超過了市場。

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 7.0%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

由於長期表現良好,但最近回調了7.0%,因此讓我們檢查一下基本面是否與股價相符。

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

雖然市場是一種強大的定價機制,但股價反映了投資者的情緒,而不僅僅是潛在的業務表現。考慮市場對公司的看法發生了怎樣的變化的一種不完美但簡單的方法是將每股收益(EPS)的變化與股價走勢進行比較。

Over the last twelve months, China Cinda Asset Management actually shrank its EPS by 52%.

在過去的十二個月中,中國信達資產管理實際上將其每股收益縮減了52%。

So we don't think that investors are paying too much attention to EPS. Therefore, it seems likely that investors are putting more weight on metrics other than EPS, at the moment.

因此,我們認爲投資者對每股收益的關注不多。因此,目前投資者似乎更重視每股收益以外的指標。

We haven't seen China Cinda Asset Management increase dividend payments yet, so the yield probably hasn't helped drive the share higher. It seems far more likely that the 20% boost to the revenue over the last year, is making the difference. After all, it's not necessarily a bad thing if a business sacrifices profits today in pursuit of profit tomorrow (metaphorically speaking).

我們還沒有看到中國信達資產管理增加股息支付,因此收益率可能無助於推動股價上漲。與去年相比,收入增長20%的可能性似乎要大得多。畢竟,如果一家企業爲了追求明天的利潤而犧牲今天的利潤,這不一定是一件壞事(比喻地說)。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到收入和收入如何隨着時間的推移而變化(點擊圖片了解確切的值)。

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SEHK:1359 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 25th 2024
SEHK: 1359 2024 年 11 月 25 日收益和收入增長

We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我們很高興地向大家報告,首席執行官的薪酬比資本狀況相似的公司的大多數首席執行官更適中。但是,儘管首席執行官的薪酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是公司未來能否增加收益。因此,我們建議您查看這份顯示共識預測的免費報告

What About Dividends?

那股息呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, China Cinda Asset Management's TSR for the last 1 year was 64%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。碰巧的是,中國信達資產管理在過去一年的股東總回報率爲64%,超過了前面提到的股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

It's good to see that China Cinda Asset Management has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 64% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 2% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for China Cinda Asset Management (2 are significant) that you should be aware of.

很高興看到中國信達資產管理在過去十二個月中向股東提供了64%的總股東回報率。當然,這包括股息。由於一年期股東總回報率好於五年期股東總回報率(後者爲每年2%),因此該股的表現似乎在最近有所改善。持樂觀態度的人可能會將最近股東總回報率的改善視爲業務本身隨着時間的推移而變得更好。我發現將長期股價視爲業務績效的代表非常有趣。但是,要真正獲得見解,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們已經爲中國信達資產管理確定了5個警告信號(2個很重要),你應該注意這些信號。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

如果你像我一樣,那麼你一定不想錯過這份內部人士正在買入的被低估的小盤股的免費清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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