Here's Why Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry GroupLTD (SHSE:605296) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Here's Why Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry GroupLTD (SHSE:605296) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry Group Co.,LTD. (SHSE:605296) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
霍華德·馬克斯很好地闡述了這個問題,他說,'我擔心的風險是永久性損失的可能性……而我認識的每個實際投資者也都對此感到擔憂。' 在審視一家公司有多風險時,自然要考慮公司的資產負債表,因爲當業務崩潰時,債務往往與之相關。就像雲南神農農產品產業集團有限公司(SHSE:605296)一樣,也利用了債務。但這些債務是否讓股東感到擔憂呢?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
債務在業務有困難償還時可以幫助企業,無論是通過新資本還是通過自由現金流。如果情況變得非常糟糕,貸款人可以接管企業。然而,更普遍(但仍然昂貴)的情況是公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,僅僅爲了控制債務。然而,通過替代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資金以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。當我們檢查債務水平時,首先考慮現金和債務水平。
How Much Debt Does Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry GroupLTD Carry?
雲南神農農產品產業集團有限公司承擔了多少債務?
As you can see below, at the end of September 2024, Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry GroupLTD had CN¥618.2m of debt, up from CN¥459.2m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. But on the other hand it also has CN¥951.7m in cash, leading to a CN¥333.5m net cash position.
如您所見,截至2024年9月底,雲南神農農產品產業集團有限公司的債務爲61820萬人民幣,較去年增加了45920萬人民幣。點擊圖片了解更多詳情。但另一方面,它還有95170萬人民幣的現金,因此淨現金狀況爲33350萬人民幣。
A Look At Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry GroupLTD's Liabilities
雲南神農農產品產業集團有限公司的負債分析
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry GroupLTD had liabilities of CN¥1.35b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥451.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥951.7m and CN¥192.2m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥661.9m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
從最新的資產負債表可以看出,雲南神農農產品產業集團有限公司的負債爲13.5億元人民幣,預計在一年內到期,且有45120萬元的負債在一年後到期。另外,它的現金爲95170萬元,以及19220萬元的應收賬款在一年內到期。因此,它的負債總額爲66190萬元,超過了現金和短期應收賬款的總和。
Given Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry GroupLTD has a market capitalization of CN¥15.2b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry GroupLTD boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
考慮到雲南神農農產品產業集團有限公司的市值爲152億元人民幣,很難相信這些負債會構成太大威脅。儘管如此,顯然我們應該繼續關注其資產負債表,以免其情況變壞。儘管負債顯著,雲南神農農產品產業集團有限公司的淨現金狀況良好,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!
Even more impressive was the fact that Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry GroupLTD grew its EBIT by 127% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry GroupLTD can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
更令人印象深刻的是,雲南神農農產品產業集團有限公司的EBIT在十一個月內增長了127%。這種增長將使它更容易在未來償還債務。分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是一個重點。但是,最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定雲南神農農產品產業集團有限公司是否能夠隨着時間的推移鞏固其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份免費的報告,展示了分析師的盈利預測。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. While Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry GroupLTD has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the last two years, Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry GroupLTD saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
最後,一家公司只能用冷硬現金來償還債務,而不是會計利潤。雖然雲南神農農產品產業集團有限公司的資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍然值得關注它將稅前息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們理解它是多快地在構建(或侵蝕)現金餘額。在過去兩年中,雲南神農農產品產業集團有限公司的自由現金流總體上出現了顯著的負值。雖然這可能是由於增長支出造成的,但這確實使債務變得更加風險。
Summing Up
總之
We could understand if investors are concerned about Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry GroupLTD's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of CN¥333.5m. And we liked the look of last year's 127% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't have any problem with Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry GroupLTD's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Yunnan Shennong Agricultural Industry GroupLTD .
我們可以理解投資者對雲南神農農產品集團有限公司負債的擔憂,但我們可以放心的是它擁有淨現金33350萬人民幣。我們也喜歡去年的127%的同比EBIT增長。因此,我們對雲南神農農產品集團有限公司使用債務沒有任何問題。在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表內——遠非如此。爲此,你應該注意我們發現的雲南神農農產品集團有限公司的一個警告信號。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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