Is Ralph Lauren (NYSE:RL) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Ralph Lauren (NYSE:RL) Using Too Much Debt?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Ralph Lauren Corporation (NYSE:RL) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
霍華德·馬克斯很好地表達了這一觮,他說,與其擔心股價波動,'我擔心的是永久損失的可能性...我認識的每位實際投資者都會擔心這一點。'因此,看起來明智的投資者知道負債-通常與破產有關-是評估公司風險的一個非常重要的因素。我們可以看到拉夫勞倫公司(紐交所:RL)確實在業務中使用了債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否使公司變得更加風險。
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般來說,當公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲一個真正的問題,公司只能通過籌集資本或憑藉自己的現金流來償還債務。在最壞的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人的債務,那麼可能會破產。然而,更常見的情況是需要以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久性地稀釋股東的股份。當然,債務的好處是它通常代表了廉價的資本,特別是當債務取代向具有高回報率的公司再投資而造成的稀釋時。在考慮企業使用多少債務時,首先要做的是看其現金和債務的總和。
What Is Ralph Lauren's Net Debt?
拉夫勞倫的淨債務是多少?
As you can see below, Ralph Lauren had US$1.14b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have US$1.69b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$548.2m.
如下所示,拉夫勞倫在2024年9月的債務爲11.4億美元,與前年差不多。您可以點擊圖表查看更詳細的信息。然而,它有16.9億美元的現金來抵消這筆債務,導致淨現金爲54820萬美元。
![big](https://usnewsfile.moomoo.com/public/MM-PersistNewsContentImage/7781/20241126/0-20ff7f83867521c531a122da2566f011-0-326fdcd485865fe156fc88eb1b151d07.png/big)
How Healthy Is Ralph Lauren's Balance Sheet?
拉夫勞倫的資產負債表有多健康?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Ralph Lauren had liabilities of US$2.09b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$2.27b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.69b and US$643.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$2.02b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
深入了解最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以發現拉夫勞倫在12個月內到期的負債爲20.9億美元,而在此後到期的負債爲22.7億美元。另一方面,它手頭有16.9億美元的現金和64370萬美元一年內到期的應收賬款。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款多了20.2億美元。
Given Ralph Lauren has a humongous market capitalization of US$13.2b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Ralph Lauren boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
考慮到拉夫勞倫市值高達132億美元,很難相信這些負債會構成多大威脅。但是有足夠的負債需要股東繼續關注其資產負債表的情況。儘管其有相當可觀的負債,拉夫勞倫擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!
In addition to that, we're happy to report that Ralph Lauren has boosted its EBIT by 52%, thus reducing the spectre of future debt repayments. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Ralph Lauren's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
此外,我們很高興地報道,拉夫勞倫已將其EBIt增加了52%,從而減輕了未來債務償還的壓力。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但更重要的是未來收入,這將決定拉夫勞倫維持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果您想知道專業人士的看法,您可能會發現分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Ralph Lauren has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Over the most recent three years, Ralph Lauren recorded free cash flow worth 73% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
但我們的最終考慮也很重要,因爲一家公司無法用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。雖然拉夫勞倫在資產負債表上有淨現金,但仍然值得查看其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力,以幫助我們理解它是如何快速積累(或侵蝕)現金餘額的。在最近的三年中,拉夫勞倫錄得的自由現金流價值爲其EBIt的73%,這是正常水平,考慮到自由現金流不含利息和稅。這筆冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。
Summing Up
總之
Although Ralph Lauren's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of US$548.2m. And we liked the look of last year's 52% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Ralph Lauren's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Ralph Lauren , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
雖然拉夫勞倫的資產負債表並不是特別強,由於總負債,它的淨現金達到了54820萬美元。而且,我們喜歡去年52%的年度EBIt增長。所以,我們認爲拉夫勞倫的債務使用並不冒險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中最了解債務。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。我們已經確定了拉夫勞倫的2個警告信號,並理解它們應該成爲您投資過程中的一部分。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
當一切塵埃落定時,有時更容易專注於那些甚至不需要債務的公司。讀者可以立即免費查看零淨債務的成長股列表。
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