ReNew Energy Global (NASDAQ:RNW) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky
ReNew Energy Global (NASDAQ:RNW) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that ReNew Energy Global Plc (NASDAQ:RNW) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
禾倫·巴菲特曾 famously地說,『波動性遠非與風險同義。』在審視一家公司有多風險時,自然會考慮其資產負債表,因爲企業破產時往往涉及債務。我們可以看到,ReNew Energy 全球有限公司(納斯達克:RNW)確實在其業務中使用債務。但是,股東應該擔心其債務使用嗎?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
通常情況下,只有當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,它才會變成真正的問題,這要麼是通過增加資本,要麼通過自身現金流實現。在最糟糕的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人,它可能會破產。然而,更常見但仍然代價高昂的情況是,一家公司必須以極低的價格發行股份,永久稀釋股東,以穩固其資產負債表。當然,許多公司使用債務來資助增長,並沒有任何負面後果。在檢驗債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。
What Is ReNew Energy Global's Net Debt?
ReNew Energy Global 的淨債務是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 ReNew Energy Global had debt of ₹699.1b, up from ₹587.2b in one year. However, it does have ₹73.9b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹625.3b.
下圖可以點擊以獲取更多詳細信息,顯示在 2024 年 9 月,ReNew Energy Global 擁有債務 6991億盧比,較一年前的 5872億盧比有所上升。 然而,它有 739億盧比的現金抵消這一點,從而導致淨債務約爲 6253億盧比。
How Healthy Is ReNew Energy Global's Balance Sheet?
ReNew Energy Global的資產負債表健康狀況如何?
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that ReNew Energy Global had liabilities of ₹168.3b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹632.7b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹73.9b as well as receivables valued at ₹20.1b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹707.0b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到,ReNew Energy Global有 ₹1683億 的負債將在 12 個月內到期,還有 ₹6327億 的負債將在之後到期。抵消這些義務,它有 ₹739億 的現金以及價值 ₹201億 的應收款將在 12 個月內到期。因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收款的總和多出 ₹7070億。
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₹180.0b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, ReNew Energy Global would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
這裏的缺口對 ₹1800億 的公司來說影響重大,就像一個孩子揹着裝滿書籍的巨大揹包、運動器材和一個小號而掙扎一樣。因此我們毫無疑問地會密切關注它的資產負債表。最終,如果債權人要求償還,ReNew Energy Global可能需要進行重大再融資。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
我們使用兩個主要的比率來告訴我們相對於收益的債務水平。第一個是淨債務除以利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),而第二個是其利潤前利息和稅(EBIT)覆蓋其利息費用的次數(或其利息覆蓋率,簡稱)。因此,我們考慮與折舊和攤銷費用相關的盈利以及沒有相關費用的盈利相對於債務水平。
ReNew Energy Global shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (9.6), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.2 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. The good news is that ReNew Energy Global improved its EBIT by 6.2% over the last twelve months, thus gradually reducing its debt levels relative to its earnings. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ReNew Energy Global can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
ReNew Energy Global 的股東面臨高淨債務與 EBITDA 比率(9.6)和相對較弱的利息覆蓋率的雙重打擊,因爲 EBITDA 僅是利息費用的 1.2 倍。這裏的債務負擔相當沉重。好消息是,ReNew Energy Global 在過去的十二個月內將其 EBITDA 提升了 6.2%,從而逐漸減少了相對於其收入的債務水平。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到最多關於債務的知識。但最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定 ReNew Energy Global 能否隨着時間的推移改善其資產負債表。因此,如果想了解專業人士的看法,可以發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告會很有趣。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, ReNew Energy Global saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
但我們的最終考慮也很重要,因爲公司不能用紙面利潤來償還債務;它需要冷硬的現金。因此,我們顯然需要查看 EBITDA 是否導致相應的自由現金流。在過去三年中,ReNew Energy Global 總體上經歷了顯著的負自由現金流。雖然這可能是增長支出造成的,但這使得債務風險大大增加。
Our View
我們的觀點
On the face of it, ReNew Energy Global's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its level of total liabilities was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like ReNew Energy Global has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for ReNew Energy Global you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.
從表面上看,ReNew Energy Global將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流,讓我們對這隻股票感到猶豫,其總負債水平也並沒有比一年中最忙碌的夜晚那家空蕩蕩的餐廳更令人興奮。 但從積極的方面看,其EBIt增長率是一個好兆頭,讓我們更加樂觀。 考慮到上述所有因素,ReNew Energy Global似乎債務過高。這種風險對某些人來說可以接受,但顯然不符合我們的口味。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表顯然是一個很好的起點。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中 - 遠非如此。一個例子是:我們發現了 3 個您應該注意的ReNew Energy Global的警告信號,其中 1 個信號讓人有些擔憂。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。