Zoneco Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002069) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 12% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Zoneco Group's P/S ratio of 1.8x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Food industry in China is about the same. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
How Has Zoneco Group Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Zoneco Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zoneco Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zoneco Group?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zoneco Group would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 12%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 23% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 16% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Zoneco Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Zoneco Group's P/S
Zoneco Group appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
The fact that Zoneco Group currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Zoneco Group with six simple checks.
If you're unsure about the strength of Zoneco Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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