Is Want Want China Holdings (HKG:151) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Want Want China Holdings (HKG:151) Using Too Much Debt?
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Want Want China Holdings Limited (HKG:151) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
一些人認爲,作爲投資者,考慮風險的最佳方法是考慮波動性,而不是債務,但禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過'波動性遠非風險的代名詞'。當我們考慮公司有多冒險時,我們總是喜歡看看它對債務的使用情況,因爲債務過載可能導致滅亡。我們注意到中國旺旺控股有限公司(HKG:151)資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是,這筆債務是否使公司變得冒險。
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般來說,當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過融資還是通過自身的現金流。在最糟糕的情況下,如果一家公司無法償還債權人,就會破產。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股價 dilute 股東,以便簡單地控制債務。當然,對於資本密集型企業而言,債務可能是一種重要工具。在考慮一家公司對債務的使用時,我們首先要看現金和債務結合在一起。
What Is Want Want China Holdings's Debt?
中國旺旺控股的債務是什麼?
As you can see below, Want Want China Holdings had CN¥6.33b of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥7.63b a year prior. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥7.86b in cash, so it actually has CN¥1.52b net cash.
如您所見,中國旺旺控股在2024年9月的債務爲人民幣63.3億,較前一年的人民幣76.3億有所下降。然而,其資產負債表顯示其持有人民幣78.6億現金,因此實際上有15.2億淨現金。
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How Strong Is Want Want China Holdings' Balance Sheet?
中國旺旺控股的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Want Want China Holdings had liabilities of CN¥11.1b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥256.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥7.86b and CN¥879.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥2.67b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
我們可以從最近的資產負債表中看到,中國旺旺控股有111億人民幣的短期到期負債,及25630萬人民幣的長期到期負債。另一方面,其名下有78.6億人民幣和87930萬人民幣的應收款項。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收款項多出26.7億人民幣。
Since publicly traded Want Want China Holdings shares are worth a total of CN¥49.2b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Want Want China Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
由於公開交易的中國旺旺控股股份總值爲492億人民幣,這種負債水平似乎不太可能構成重大威脅。然而,我們認爲值得關注其資產負債表的實力,因爲隨着時間的推移可能會發生變化。儘管其顯著的負債,中國旺旺控股擁有淨現金,可以說其負債並不沉重!
Fortunately, Want Want China Holdings grew its EBIT by 7.7% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Want Want China Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
幸運的是,中國旺旺控股去年的EBIt增長了7.7%,使得負債看起來更易管理。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到更多關於債務的信息。但最終,業務未來的盈利能力將決定中國旺旺控股能否隨時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果您專注於未來,可以查看這份展示分析師盈利預測的免費報告。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Want Want China Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Want Want China Holdings recorded free cash flow worth 80% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最後,一家公司只能用冷硬現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。中國旺旺控股在資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但觀察業務如何將利息和稅前利潤(EBIt)轉化爲自由現金流仍具有一定意義,因爲這將影響其債務的需求和管理能力。在最近的三年中,中國旺旺控股的自由現金流佔其EBIt的80%,這在於自由現金流不包括利息和稅款,這些冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。
Summing Up
總之
While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Want Want China Holdings has CN¥1.52b in net cash. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥4.7b, being 80% of its EBIT. So is Want Want China Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Want Want China Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
雖然查看公司的總負債總是明智的,但中國旺旺控股在淨現金方面有着15.2億人民幣的非常可觀的現金。並且其 47億人民幣的自由現金流給我們留下了深刻印象,佔到其EBIt的80%。那麼中國旺旺控股的債務是否構成風險呢?在我們看來似乎並非如此。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。我們已經發現了與中國旺旺控股有關的1個警示信號,理解這些信號應該成爲您的投資過程的一部分。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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