share_log

The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock (SZSE:000690) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock (SZSE:000690) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time

寶新能源(SZSE:000690)的五年基本盈利增長有望,但股東在此期間仍處於虧損狀態。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/27 07:43

While not a mind-blowing move, it is good to see that the Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000690) share price has gained 12% in the last three months. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. After all, the share price is down 20% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

雖然這不是一個令人震驚的舉動,但看到寶新能源股份有限公司(SZSE:000690)的股價在過去三個月上漲了12%還是不錯的。 但這並不改變過去五年回報不盡如人意的事實。 畢竟,在此期間股價下跌了20%,表現明顯落後於市場。

Since Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock has shed CN¥392m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

由於寶新能源在過去7天內價值蒸發了39200萬CN¥,我們來看看長期的下滑是否受到了業務經濟學的影響。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

引用巴菲特的話,「船隻會在世界各地航行,但扁平地球協會將空前盛行。市場上的價格和價值將繼續存在巨大差異… 」檢查市場情緒如何隨時間變化的一種方法是查看公司的股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。

While the share price declined over five years, Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 21% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.

儘管在五年間股價有所下跌,寶新能源實際上每年平均成功增加了每股收益21%。 鑑於股價的反應,人們可能懷疑在此期間每股收益是否是業務表現的良好指標(可能由於一次性的損失或收益)。 或者,過去的增長預期可能是不切實際的。

It's strange to see such muted share price performance despite sustained growth. Perhaps a clue lies in other metrics.

儘管股票收益很重要,但還要考慮股東的總回報。 TSR包括任何分拆或折扣資本募集的價值以及任何分紅,基於假設分紅再投資。可以說,TSR給出了一個更全面的股票回報圖景。恰好,過去5年Westamerica Bancorporation的TSR爲-1.4%,超過了前面提到的股票回報。主要原因是其股息支付!

We note that the dividend has remained healthy, so that wouldn't really explain the share price drop. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.

我們注意到股息仍然很健康,因此不能真正解釋股價下跌。我們不立即清楚股價下跌的原因,但進一步的研究可能會提供一些答案。

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

以下圖像顯示了公司的營業收入和盈利(隨時間變化)(單擊以查看準確的數字)。

big
SZSE:000690 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 26th 2024
深證:000690 盈利和營業收入增長 2024年11月26日

We know that Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

我們知道寶新能源股票最近改善了其盈利能力,但未來會怎樣呢?所以我們建議查看這份免費的報告,顯示一致的預測。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock's TSR for the last 5 years was -6.8%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

除了衡量股價回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。而股價回報僅反映股價的變化,總股東回報包括分紅的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折價融資或分拆的益處。因此,對於支付慷慨分紅的公司,總股東回報往往遠高於股價回報。實際上,寶新能源股票在過去5年的總股東回報爲-6.8%,超過之前提到的股價回報。毫無疑問,分紅支付在很大程度上解釋了這種差異!

A Different Perspective

另一種看法

While the broader market gained around 5.3% in the last year, Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock shareholders lost 1.4% (even including dividends). However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 1.3% doled out over the last five years. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Guangdong Baolihua New Energy Stock is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

儘管大盤在過去一年上漲了大約5.3%,但寶新能源的股東卻損失了1.4%(即使包括分紅派息)。但請記住,即使是最好的股票,有時在十二個月的時間內也會表現不佳。不幸的是,由於過去五年損失了1.3%,長期股東的情況更糟。我們需要在關鍵指標上看到一些持續的改善,才能激發我們的熱情。我發現,從長遠來看,股價作爲業務表現的代理非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。即便如此,請注意,寶新能源在我們的投資分析中顯示出一個警告信號,您應該知道……

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

如果您和我一樣,那麼您一定不想錯過這份免費的被內部人員買入的低估小盤股清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
    搶先評論