The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Yixin Group (HKG:2858) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
The Five-year Underlying Earnings Growth at Yixin Group (HKG:2858) Is Promising, but the Shareholders Are Still in the Red Over That Time
We think intelligent long term investing is the way to go. But no-one is immune from buying too high. To wit, the Yixin Group Limited (HKG:2858) share price managed to fall 62% over five long years. That's not a lot of fun for true believers. Even worse, it's down 15% in about a month, which isn't fun at all.
我們認爲智能的長期投資是正確的方向。但是沒有人能避免高位買入。舉例來說,易鑫集團有限公司(HKG:2858)的股價在五年內下跌了62%。這對於真正的信仰者來說並不是一件有趣的事。更糟的是,它在大約一個月內下跌了15%,這根本不好玩。
Given the past week has been tough on shareholders, let's investigate the fundamentals and see what we can learn.
考慮到過去一週對股東來說是艱難的,讓我們調查一下基本面並看看我們能學到什麼。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:「短期市場是一臺投票機,但長期市場是一臺稱重機」。檢查市場情緒如何隨時間推移變化的一種方式是查看公司股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
During five years of share price growth, Yixin Group moved from a loss to profitability. That would generally be considered a positive, so we are surprised to see the share price is down. Other metrics may better explain the share price move.
在五年的股價增長中,易鑫集團從虧損轉爲盈利。這通常被認爲是個積極的信號,因此我們很驚訝地看到股價下跌。其他指標可能更好地解釋股價的變動。
The steady dividend doesn't really explain why the share price is down. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.
我們喜歡看到內部人士在過去12個月裏一直在買入股票。話雖如此,大多數人認爲收益和營收增長趨勢對業務的指導更具有意義。如果你考慮購買或出售新加坡交易所的股票,你應該查看這篇免費的報告,顯示分析師的利潤預測。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
以下圖片顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化(如果你點擊圖片,可以看到更詳細的信息)。
We know that Yixin Group has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
我們知道易鑫集團在過去三年中改善了其利潤,但未來會怎樣呢? 查看我們關於其財務狀況隨時間變化的免費報告可能是很值得的。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Yixin Group, it has a TSR of -59% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了衡量股價收益外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR包含了任何剝離或折扣融資的價值,以及任何分紅,基於分紅被再投資的假設。因此,對於支付慷慨分紅的公司,TSR往往比股價收益高得多。以易鑫集團爲例,過去五年的TSR爲-59%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價收益。公司支付的分紅因此提升了總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
Yixin Group shareholders are up 9.2% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it is certainly better than the yearly loss of about 10% endured over half a decade. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Yixin Group better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Yixin Group has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
易鑫集團的股東今年上漲了9.2%(即使包括分紅派息)。但這個回報低於市場表現。好的一面是,這仍然是一個收益,並且肯定比過去五年所承受的約10%的年度損失要好。因此這可能是業務扭轉乾坤的標誌。 長期跟蹤股票價格表現總是很有趣。但要更好地了解易鑫集團,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。以風險爲例——易鑫集團有2個警告信號(還有1個讓人稍感不安)我們認爲您應該了解。
We will like Yixin Group better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我們看到一些大額內部人士買入,我們將更喜歡易鑫集團。在我們等待的同時,請查看這份免費名單,上面是近期有相當多內部人士買入的被低估股票(大多數是小型股)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
請注意,本文引述的市場回報率反映了目前在香港交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報率。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。