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Earnings Growth of 1.6% Over 5 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for LBX Pharmacy Chain (SHSE:603883) Shareholders

Earnings Growth of 1.6% Over 5 Years Hasn't Been Enough to Translate Into Positive Returns for LBX Pharmacy Chain (SHSE:603883) Shareholders

5年內1.6%的收益增長不足以爲LBX藥房連鎖(SHSE:603883)股東帶來正回報
Simply Wall St ·  11/26 19:41

It is a pleasure to report that the LBX Pharmacy Chain Joint Stock Company (SHSE:603883) is up 43% in the last quarter. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. After all, the share price is down 39% in that time, significantly under-performing the market.

很高興地報告,老百姓(SHSE:603883)在最後一個季度上漲了43%。但如果你看看過去五年,回報情況並不好。畢竟,在這段時間內,股價下跌了39%,明顯落後於市場表現。

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for LBX Pharmacy Chain isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

如果過去一週的情況可以作爲參考,投資者對老百姓的情緒並不積極,因此讓我們看看基本面和股價之間是否存在不匹配。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

市場有時候是有效的,但價格並不總是反映公司的基本業務表現。通過比較每股收益和股價變化,我們可以了解投資者對公司的看法如何隨着時間變化而變化。

While the share price declined over five years, LBX Pharmacy Chain actually managed to increase EPS by an average of 8.1% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or possibly, the market was previously very optimistic, so the stock has disappointed, despite improving EPS.

雖然股價在五年內有所下降,但老百姓實際上每年將每股收益平均提高了8.1%。考慮到股價反應,人們可能懷疑在此期間每股收益並不是業務表現的良好指標(可能由於一次性虧損或收益)。或者,也有可能市場之前過於樂觀,因此儘管每股收益有所提高,但股票仍然讓人失望。

Because of the sharp contrast between the EPS growth rate and the share price growth, we're inclined to look to other metrics to understand the changing market sentiment around the stock.

由於每股收益增長率和股價增長之間的鮮明對比,我們傾向於查看其他指標,以了解股票周圍的變化的市場情緒。

In contrast to the share price, revenue has actually increased by 15% a year in the five year period. A more detailed examination of the revenue and earnings may or may not explain why the share price languishes; there could be an opportunity.

與股票價格相比,營業收入在五年期間實際上每年增長了15%。對營業收入和盈利的更詳細審查可能會解釋股票價格滯後的原因,也可能不會;這可能是一個機會。

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以看到以下收益和營收的變化情況(通過單擊圖像了解精確值)。

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SHSE:603883 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 27th 2024
SHSE:603883 每股收益和營業收入增長 2024年11月27日

LBX Pharmacy Chain is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. You can see what analysts are predicting for LBX Pharmacy Chain in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

老百姓廣受投資者歡迎,許多聰明的分析師試圖預測未來的盈利水平。您可以在這個互動圖表中查看分析師對老百姓未來盈利預測。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of LBX Pharmacy Chain, it has a TSR of -33% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

考慮到任何股票的總股東回報以及股價回報是很重要的。總股東回報(TSR)包含任何分拆或折扣融資的價值,以及任何分紅,假設這些分紅是再投資的。可以公平地說,TSR爲支付分紅的股票提供了更完整的視圖。在老百姓的案例中,它在過去五年裏的TSR爲-33%。這超過了之前提到的股價回報。因此,公司支付的分紅提升了整體股東回報。

A Different Perspective

另一種看法

While the broader market gained around 5.3% in the last year, LBX Pharmacy Chain shareholders lost 22% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 6% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for LBX Pharmacy Chain (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

雖然整個市場在過去一年中上漲了大約5.3%,但是老百姓藥房連鎖的股東卻損失了22%(即使包括分紅派息)。即使是優秀股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在過於關注之前,看到企業基本指標的改善。遺憾的是,去年的表現結束了一個糟糕的運行,股東在五年內面臨每年6%的總損失。我們意識到巴倫·羅斯柴爾德曾說過投資者應該在街上有血的時刻「買入」,但我們提醒投資者首先要確保他們所購買的是高質量的業務。雖然考慮市場條件對股價的不同影響非常重要,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,我們發現了老百姓藥房連鎖的2個警告信號(1個是顯著的!),在您投資前應該了解這些。

We will like LBX Pharmacy Chain better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我們看到一些大型內部交易,老百姓藥房連鎖會更受歡迎。在我們等待期間,可以查看這份包含近期大量內部交易的被低估股票(大多數是小盤股)的免費列表。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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