Shareholders in ASMPT (HKG:522) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago
Shareholders in ASMPT (HKG:522) Are in the Red If They Invested Five Years Ago
Ideally, your overall portfolio should beat the market average. But in any portfolio, there will be mixed results between individual stocks. So we wouldn't blame long term ASMPT Limited (HKG:522) shareholders for doubting their decision to hold, with the stock down 28% over a half decade. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 18% in a month.
理想情況下,您的整體投資組合應該超過市場平均水平。但是在任何投資組合中,單個股票的表現會有差異。因此,我們不會責怪長揸asmpt有限公司(HKG:522)的股東們對他們持有的決定產生疑慮,因爲該股票在過去五年中下跌了28%。最近,股價在一個月內又下降了18%。
So let's have a look and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.
那麼我們來看看這家公司的長期表現是否符合其業務進展情況。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
市場有時無疑是高效的,但價格並不總是反映基礎業務表現。 一種檢查市場情緒如何隨時間改變的方法是查看公司的股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。
During the five years over which the share price declined, ASMPT's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 7.9% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 6% compound annual share price fall. So investors might expect EPS to bounce back -- or they may have previously foreseen the EPS decline. With a P/E ratio of 72.70, it's fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.
在股價下跌的五年中,asmpt的每股收益(EPS)每年下降了7.9%。每股收益的下降比每年6%的複合股價下降更嚴重。因此,投資者可能會期待每股收益反彈——或者他們可能之前就預見到了每股收益的下降。以72.70的市盈率來看,市場對這項業務的未來持更樂觀的態度。
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
該公司的每股收益(隨時間的推移)如下圖所示(單擊可查看確切數字)。
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It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on ASMPT's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
查看我們關於asmpt的營業收入、收益和現金流的免費報告非常值得。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for ASMPT the TSR over the last 5 years was -16%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了衡量股價回報之外,投資者還應該考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR是一種回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設任何收到的分紅都被再投資)以及任何折扣資本籌集和剝離的計算價值。可以公平地說,TSR爲支付分紅的股票提供了更全面的圖景。我們注意到,對於asmpt,過去5年的TSR爲-16%,這優於上述提到的股價回報。公司的分紅因而提升了總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
Investors in ASMPT had a tough year, with a total loss of 6.0% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 15%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 3% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for ASMPT you should know about.
投資於asmpt的投資者經歷了艱難的一年,總損失爲6.0%(包括分紅),而市場收益約爲15%。即使是優秀股票的股價有時也會下跌,但我們希望在過於感興趣之前看到業務基本指標的改善。不幸的是,去年的表現可能表明尚未解決的挑戰,因爲這比過去五年年化損失3%更糟糕。我們意識到巴倫·羅斯柴爾德曾說投資者應該在街頭流血時"買入",但我們提醒投資者首先要確保他們在購買高質量的業務。我發現從長遠來看股價作爲業務表現的代理非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,風險。每個公司都有風險,我們發現了1個關於asmpt的警告信號,您應該知道。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,您可能通過在其他地方尋找會找到一筆極好的投資。因此,請查看我們預計會增長收入的公司免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
請注意,本文引述的市場回報率反映了目前在香港交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報率。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。