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Investors in PetroChina (HKG:857) Have Seen Impressive Returns of 111% Over the Past Three Years

Investors in PetroChina (HKG:857) Have Seen Impressive Returns of 111% Over the Past Three Years

中國石油(HKG:857)的投資者在過去三年中獲得了111%的可觀回報
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/27 12:16

While PetroChina Company Limited (HKG:857) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 22% in the last quarter. But over three years, the returns would have left most investors smiling To wit, the share price did better than an index fund, climbing 64% during that period.

中國石油有限公司(HKG:857)的股東們可能總體上感到滿意,但股票最近的表現並不好,上季度股價下跌了22%。不過在過去三年裏,回報率可能會讓大多數投資者微笑,因爲股價比指數基金表現更好,在那段時間裏上漲了64%。

So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

那麼,讓我們調查一下並查看公司的長期表現是否符合基本業務的進展。

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

引用巴菲特的話說,「船隻會在世界各地航行,但是持平地球學會會蓬勃發展。在市場上,價格和價值之間將繼續存在巨大的差距……」評估公司周圍情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

PetroChina was able to grow its EPS at 24% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. This EPS growth is higher than the 18% average annual increase in the share price. So one could reasonably conclude that the market has cooled on the stock. We'd venture the lowish P/E ratio of 5.83 also reflects the negative sentiment around the stock.

中國石油在過去三年中成功地實現了每年24%的EPS增長,推動股價上漲。這種EPS增長高於每年18%的股價平均增長。因此可以合理地得出結論,市場對該股冷淡了。我們認爲5.83的較低市盈率也反映了市場對該股的負面情緒。

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

該公司的每股收益(隨時間的推移)如下圖所示(單擊可查看確切數字)。

big
SEHK:857 Earnings Per Share Growth November 27th 2024
SEHK:857每股收益增長於2024年11月27日

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on PetroChina's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

值得注意的是,CEO的薪酬低於類似規模公司的中位數。但是,CEO的薪酬總是值得檢查的,真正重要的問題是公司未來是否能夠增長收入。查看中國石油的收入、營業收入和現金流的免費報告可能非常值得一看。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, PetroChina's TSR for the last 3 years was 111%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

對於任何給定的股票,考慮總股東收益以及股價回報是很重要的。總股東回報率是一個計算回報的指標,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設任何分紅都被再投資)以及任何折價增資和拆股的計算價值。因此,對於支付豐厚股息的公司,總股東回報率通常比股價回報率高得多。實際上,中國石油過去3年的總股東回報率爲111%,超過了前面提到的股價回報。該公司支付的分紅因此提高了總股東回報率。

A Different Perspective

另一種看法

We're pleased to report that PetroChina shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 17% over one year. Of course, that includes the dividend. However, that falls short of the 18% TSR per annum it has made for shareholders, each year, over five years. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand PetroChina better, we need to consider many other factors. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for PetroChina you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

我們很高興地報告,中國石油股東在過去一年中獲得了17%的總股東回報。當然,這包括股息。然而,這低於每年爲股東帶來的18%的總股東回報率,假設每年都有分紅。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有趣。但要更好地了解中國石油,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。值得一提的是:我們發現了中國石油的2個警示信號,您應該注意其中一個。

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of undervalued small caps that insiders are buying.

如果您和我一樣,那麼您一定不想錯過這份免費的被內部人員買入的低估小盤股清單。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文引述的市場回報率反映了目前在香港交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報率。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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