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Chongqing VDL Electronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301121) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

Chongqing VDL Electronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301121) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

重慶VDL電子有限公司(SZSE:301121)表現強勁,但基本面似乎是融合的:股票有明確的方向嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/27 15:43

Most readers would already be aware that Chongqing VDL Electronics' (SZSE:301121) stock increased significantly by 40% over the past three months. However, we wonder if the company's inconsistent financials would have any adverse impact on the current share price momentum. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Chongqing VDL Electronics' ROE today.

大多數讀者可能已經知道重慶 VDL 電子(SZSE:301121)的股票在過去三個月中大幅上漲了 40%。然而,我們想知道公司的財務不一致是否會對當前的股價動量產生不利影響。特別是,我們今天將關注重慶 VDL 電子的 ROE。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

ROE或股本回報率是一個有用的工具,用於評估公司如何有效地利用其股東投入的資金來產生回報。換句話說,它是一個衡量公司股東所提供資本的回報率的盈利能力比率。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

The formula for return on equity is:

股東權益回報率的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

股東權益回報率 = 凈利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Chongqing VDL Electronics is:

因此,根據上述公式,重慶VDL電子的ROE爲:

4.9% = CN¥82m ÷ CN¥1.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

4.9% = CN¥8200萬 ÷ CN¥17億(基於截至2024年9月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.05.

『回報』是指公司在過去一年內的收益。因此,這意味着每投資CN¥1,股東就可以獲得CN¥0.05的利潤。

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

ROE爲什麼對凈利潤增長很重要?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我們已經確定,ROE可以作爲一種有效的衡量公司未來盈利能力的指標。現在我們需要評估公司再投資或「保留」的利潤有多少,這就給我們提供了有關公司增長潛力的想法。假設其他一切不變,ROE和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高,而不一定具備這些特徵的公司相比。

Chongqing VDL Electronics' Earnings Growth And 4.9% ROE

重慶VDL電子的盈利增長和4.9%的ROE

At first glance, Chongqing VDL Electronics' ROE doesn't look very promising. A quick further study shows that the company's ROE doesn't compare favorably to the industry average of 6.4% either. Therefore, it might not be wrong to say that the five year net income decline of 30% seen by Chongqing VDL Electronics was probably the result of it having a lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. Such as - low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

乍一看,重慶VDL電子的ROE看起來並不太理想。進一步分析顯示,該公司的ROE也與行業平均的6.4%不相媲美。因此,可以說重慶VDL電子在過去五年中凈利潤下降30%可能是由於其ROE較低導致的。然而,也可能還有其他因素導致盈利下降,比如低盈利留存或資本配置不當。

So, as a next step, we compared Chongqing VDL Electronics' performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 10% over the last few years.

因此,作爲下一步,我們將重慶VDL電子的業績與行業進行了對比,失望地發現,雖然該公司的盈利在縮水,但行業的盈利在過去幾年卻以10%的速度增長。

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SZSE:301121 Past Earnings Growth November 27th 2024
SZSE:301121 過去的盈利增長 2024年11月27日

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Chongqing VDL Electronics''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

盈利增長是評估股票時一個重要的指標。投資者應該判斷預期的盈利增長或下降,無論哪種情況,是否已經反映在股價中。這將幫助他們判斷股票的未來是光明還是黯淡。如果你在考慮重慶VDL電子的估值,可以查看其市盈率與行業板塊的比較。

Is Chongqing VDL Electronics Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

重慶VDL電子是否有效地再投資利潤?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 29% (that is, a retention ratio of 71%), the fact that Chongqing VDL Electronics' earnings have shrunk is quite puzzling. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

儘管正常的三年中位派息率爲29%(也就是說,留存率爲71%),但重慶VDL電子的盈利萎縮這一事實令人困惑。看起來可能還有其他原因來解釋這一缺失。例如,業務可能正在衰退。

In addition, Chongqing VDL Electronics only recently started paying a dividend so the management probably decided the shareholders prefer dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

此外,重慶VDL電子最近才開始派發分紅,管理層可能認爲股東更傾向於分紅,即使盈利在下降。

Conclusion

結論

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Chongqing VDL Electronics can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Chongqing VDL Electronics.

總體而言,我們認爲重慶VDL電子的表現可以有多種解讀。雖然該公司擁有較高的利潤留存率,但其回報率低可能會阻礙其盈利增長。總結來說,我們會對這家公司保持謹慎,評估其業務的風險狀況是一種可行的方法。我們的風險儀表板上列出了我們爲重慶VDL電子識別出的3個風險。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

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