When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 19x, you may consider CME Group Inc. (NASDAQ:CME) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 24.7x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
CME Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Keen to find out how analysts think CME Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Is There Enough Growth For CME Group?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, CME Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 14% gain to the company's bottom line. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see EPS up by 40% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 2.5% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 11% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's alarming that CME Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From CME Group's P/E?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that CME Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for CME Group you should know about.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than CME Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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當接近一半的美國公司市盈率(或稱"P/E")低於19倍時,您可能會考慮避開CME Group Inc.(納斯達克:CME),因爲它的市盈率爲24.7倍。儘管如此,僅僅根據市盈率來判斷並不明智,因爲它如此之高可能有其原因。