Does Guangzhou Grandbuy Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002187) Weak Fundamentals Mean That The Market Could Correct Its Share Price?
Does Guangzhou Grandbuy Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002187) Weak Fundamentals Mean That The Market Could Correct Its Share Price?
Guangzhou Grandbuy (SZSE:002187) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 48% over the last three months. However, in this article, we decided to focus on its weak fundamentals, as long-term financial performance of a business is what ultimately dictates market outcomes. In this article, we decided to focus on Guangzhou Grandbuy's ROE.
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
The formula for return on equity is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangzhou Grandbuy is:
1.5% = CN¥59m ÷ CN¥4.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.01 in profit.
What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.
A Side By Side comparison of Guangzhou Grandbuy's Earnings Growth And 1.5% ROE
It is hard to argue that Guangzhou Grandbuy's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 3.7%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 32% seen by Guangzhou Grandbuy over the last five years is not surprising. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.
As a next step, we compared Guangzhou Grandbuy's performance with the industry and found thatGuangzhou Grandbuy's performance is depressing even when compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 13% in the same period, which is a slower than the company.
Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 002187? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report
Is Guangzhou Grandbuy Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
Guangzhou Grandbuy's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 78% (or a retention ratio of 22%). The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run. Our risks dashboard should have the 2 risks we have identified for Guangzhou Grandbuy.
In addition, Guangzhou Grandbuy has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.
Conclusion
On the whole, Guangzhou Grandbuy's performance is quite a big let-down. The company has seen a lack of earnings growth as a result of retaining very little profits and whatever little it does retain, is being reinvested at a very low rate of return. Up till now, we've only made a short study of the company's growth data. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Guangzhou Grandbuy's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.