These 4 Measures Indicate That Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical (SHSE:600618) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
These 4 Measures Indicate That Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical (SHSE:600618) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600618) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
傳奇基金經理李錄(查理•芒格支持的人)曾經說過:「最大投資風險不是價格的波動,而是你是否會遭受資本的永久損失。」 當你審視一家公司有多危險時,考慮公司的資產負債表是很自然的,因爲債務往往在企業崩潰時涉及其中。 與許多其他公司一樣,氯鹼B股(SHSE:600618)也使用債務,但這筆債務對股東來說是一種擔憂嗎?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
債務在企業財務健康的情況下可以支持企業,直到企業難以用新資本或自由現金流償還債務。在最壞的情況下,如果公司無法支付其債權人,可能會破產。然而,更常見(但仍然代價昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以非常低廉的價格發行股票,以修復其資產負債表,從而永久性稀釋股東權益。當然,債務的好處在於它通常代表廉價資本,特別是在它在公司中替代稀釋,並且能夠以高回報率再投資時。當我們考慮公司的債務使用時,首先要將現金和債務結合起來看。
How Much Debt Does Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical Carry?
氯鹼B股的債務有多少?
As you can see below, Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical had CN¥649.3m of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥1.54b a year prior. However, it does have CN¥2.42b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥1.78b.
正如您下面所看到的,氯鹼B股在2024年9月的債務爲64930萬CN¥,相比之下一年前爲15.4億CN¥。然而,它有24.2億CN¥的現金來抵消這筆債務,導致淨現金爲17.8億CN¥。

A Look At Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's Liabilities
上海氯鹼化工的負債情況
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical had liabilities of CN¥2.66b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥212.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥2.42b in cash and CN¥623.9m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥181.3m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
從最近的資產負債表中可以看到,上海氯鹼化工有負債26.6億人民幣將在一年內到期,負債21200萬元將在其後到期。 與此相抵消的是,它有24.2億人民幣的現金和62390萬元的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。 因此,它的流動資產比總負債多出18130萬元。
This surplus suggests that Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical has a conservative balance sheet, and could probably eliminate its debt without much difficulty. Succinctly put, Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
這一盈餘表明上海氯鹼化工的資產負債表保守,可能能夠毫不費力地清償其債務。 簡而言之,上海氯鹼化工擁有淨現金,所以可以公平地說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!
Also positive, Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical grew its EBIT by 20% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
同樣值得積極考慮的是,上海氯鹼化工在去年將其EBIT增長了20%,這將使其更容易償還未來的債務。 毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中對債務的了解最爲深刻。 但是你不能完全孤立地看待債務;由於上海氯鹼化工需要盈利來服務這種債務。 所以如果你想進一步了解其盈利情況,可以查看這張關於其長期盈利趨勢的圖表。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical created free cash flow amounting to 7.5% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
最後,儘管稅務局可能鍾愛會計利潤,但貸方只接受冷硬現金。 儘管上海氯鹼化工的資產負債表上有淨現金,但查看其將息稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力仍然值得關注,以幫助我們了解它構建(或減少)現金餘額的速度。 在過去三年中,上海氯鹼化工產生的自由現金流佔其EBIT的7.5%,這一表現並不令人鼓舞。 對我們而言,這樣低的現金轉化率引發了對其償還債務能力的些許擔憂。
Summing Up
總結
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical has net cash of CN¥1.78b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 20% over the last year. So we don't have any problem with Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's use of debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical you should know about.
雖然我們能夠理解那些對債務感到擔憂的投資者,但你應該記住,氯鹼B股擁有173億淨現金,以及更流動的資產超過負債。我們對其過去一年20%的EBIT增長感到印象深刻。因此我們對氯鹼B股的債務使用沒有任何問題。毫無疑問,我們對債務的了解主要來自資產負債表。然而,並非所有投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠不止於此。這些風險可能難以發現。每家公司都有這些風險,而我們已發現氯鹼B股的一個你應該知道的警告信號。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
最終,通常更好的是關注沒有淨負債的公司。你可以訪問我們特別列出這些公司的名單(所有公司都有盈利增長的記錄)。這是免費的。
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