We Think Zhejiang Dahua Technology (SZSE:002236) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
We Think Zhejiang Dahua Technology (SZSE:002236) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002236) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
有人說,波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:「波動性遠非風險的代名詞。」因此,很明顯,當你考慮任何給定股票的風險時,你需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務會使公司陷入困境。我們注意到,浙江大華科技股份有限公司(SZSE:002236)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否使公司面臨風險。
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或用自己的現金流輕鬆還清債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能會一無所獲。但是,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。當然,債務可以成爲企業的重要工具,尤其是資本密集型企業。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先將現金和債務放在一起考慮。
What Is Zhejiang Dahua Technology's Net Debt?
浙江大華科技的淨負債是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Zhejiang Dahua Technology had debt of CN¥1.42b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥2.61b over a year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥9.33b in cash, leading to a CN¥7.91b net cash position.
您可以點擊下圖查看更多詳情,該圖片顯示,截至2024年9月底,浙江大華科技的債務爲14.2元人民幣,較一年多的26.1元人民幣有所減少。但另一方面,它也有93.3元人民幣的現金,淨現金狀況爲79.1元人民幣。
How Healthy Is Zhejiang Dahua Technology's Balance Sheet?
浙江大華科技的資產負債表有多健康?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Zhejiang Dahua Technology had liabilities of CN¥13.4b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥618.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥9.33b as well as receivables valued at CN¥19.2b due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥14.5b more liquid assets than total liabilities.
根據上次報告的資產負債表,浙江大華科技的負債爲134元人民幣,12個月後到期的負債爲61850萬元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有93.3元人民幣的現金以及價值192元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有比總負債多145元人民幣的流動資產。
This surplus suggests that Zhejiang Dahua Technology is using debt in a way that is appears to be both safe and conservative. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Succinctly put, Zhejiang Dahua Technology boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
這種盈餘表明,浙江大華科技正在以一種看似既安全又保守的方式使用債務。由於它擁有充足的資產,因此不太可能與貸款人發生麻煩。簡而言之,浙江大華科技擁有淨現金,因此可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!
The good news is that Zhejiang Dahua Technology has increased its EBIT by 3.0% over twelve months, which should ease any concerns about debt repayment. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Zhejiang Dahua Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
好消息是,浙江大華科技在十二個月內將其息稅前利潤增長了3.0%,這應該可以緩解對債務償還的任何擔憂。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,未來的收益比什麼都更能決定浙江大華科技未來保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你想看看專業人士的想法,你可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Zhejiang Dahua Technology may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Zhejiang Dahua Technology produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 63% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
最後,儘管稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冷硬現金。浙江大華科技資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但研究該企業將其息稅前收益(EBIT)轉換爲自由現金流的效果仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其對債務的需求和管理能力。在過去三年中,浙江大華科技產生了穩健的自由現金流,相當於其息稅前利潤的63%,與我們的預期差不多。這種冷硬現金意味着它可以在需要時減少債務。
Summing Up
總結
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Zhejiang Dahua Technology has CN¥7.91b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So is Zhejiang Dahua Technology's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Dahua Technology (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
儘管調查公司的債務始終是明智之舉,但在本案中,浙江大華科技的淨現金爲79.1元人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。那麼浙江大華科技的債務有風險嗎?在我們看來,情況並非如此。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到的關於債務的知識最多。但是,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們發現了浙江大華科技的 2 個警告標誌(1 個很重要!)在這裏投資之前,您應該注意這一點。
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。