Optimism for Marten Transport (NASDAQ:MRTN) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Five-year Decline in Earnings
Optimism for Marten Transport (NASDAQ:MRTN) Has Grown This Past Week, Despite Five-year Decline in Earnings
The main point of investing for the long term is to make money. Furthermore, you'd generally like to see the share price rise faster than the market. But Marten Transport, Ltd. (NASDAQ:MRTN) has fallen short of that second goal, with a share price rise of 25% over five years, which is below the market return. Zooming in, the stock is actually down 7.7% in the last year.
長期投資的主要目的是賺錢。此外,您通常希望看到股價上漲的速度超過市場。但馬爾登運輸有限公司(納斯達克:MRTN)在這一第二目標上未能達到,五年來股價上漲了25%,低於市場回報率。縮小範圍來看,過去一年該股票實際上下跌了7.7%。
Since it's been a strong week for Marten Transport shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.
由於這一週對馬爾登運輸的股東來說表現強勁,我們來看看長期基本面的趨勢。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映基礎業務的表現。一種有缺陷但合理的評估公司情緒變化的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
During five years of share price growth, Marten Transport actually saw its EPS drop 11% per year.
在五年的股價增長中,馬爾登運輸實際上每年的每股收益下降了11%。
Since the EPS are down strongly, it seems highly unlikely market participants are looking at EPS to value the company. Given that EPS is down, but the share price is up, it seems clear the market is focussed on other aspects of the business, at the moment.
由於每股收益大幅下降,似乎市場參與者不太可能以每股收益來評估公司。 鑑於每股收益下降,但股價上漲,顯然市場目前關注於業務的其他方面。
We doubt the modest 1.4% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. On the other hand, Marten Transport's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 7.3% over the last five years. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
我們懷疑這個1.4%的分紅派息收益率吸引了多少買入者。另一方面,馬爾登運輸的營業收入在過去五年以複合增長率7.3%穩步增長。在這種情況下,公司可能正在犧牲當前每股收益來推動增長。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面的圖表顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化情況(通過單擊圖像揭示確切的值)。
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It's probably worth noting we've seen significant insider buying in the last quarter, which we consider a positive. That said, we think earnings and revenue growth trends are even more important factors to consider. So it makes a lot of sense to check out what analysts think Marten Transport will earn in the future (free profit forecasts).
值得注意的是,我們看到在上一季度有顯著的內部買入,這被我們視爲積極信號。也就是說,我們認爲每股收益和營業收入增長趨勢是更重要的考慮因素。因此,查看分析師們對馬爾登運輸未來的收益預測(免費利潤預測)是非常有意義的。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Marten Transport, it has a TSR of 40% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了衡量股票價格回報外,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。TSR結合了任何拆分或折扣融資的價值,以及基於分紅再投資假設的任何分紅。可以公平地說,TSR爲支付分紅的股票提供了更完整的視圖。在馬爾登運輸的情況下,過去5年的TSR爲40%。這超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。公司支付的分紅因此提升了總股東回報。
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
While the broader market gained around 34% in the last year, Marten Transport shareholders lost 6.5% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 7%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Marten Transport you should know about.
在過去一年裏,儘管整體市場上漲了約34%,但馬爾登運輸的股東卻損失了6.5%(即使包括分紅派息)。即使是好的股票,有時股價也會下跌,但我們希望在對某項業務產生過多興趣之前,看到基本指標的改善。長期投資者可能不會太沮喪,因爲在過去五年中,他們每年獲得了7%的收益。如果基本數據繼續顯示長期可持續增長,當前的拋售可能是一個值得考慮的機會。在考慮市場狀況對股價的不同影響時,確實值得好好思考,但還有其他因素更加重要。例如,考慮風險。每家公司都有風險,我們發現馬爾登運輸有2個需要你知道的警示信號。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: most of them are flying under the radar).
如果你喜歡與管理層一起買入股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司名單。(提示:它們中的大多數都在雷達下飛行)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了當前在美國交易所上市股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。