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Options Montage: FOMC approaching

Options Montage: FOMC approaching

期權蒙太奇:聯邦公開市場委員會接近
Moomoo News ·  2021/03/15 05:49  · 獨家

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by Eli, Rachel

作者:伊萊,雷切爾

Hard to feel bearish off the order flow we saw last week. Institutional sweepers showed a solid appetite for risk on Friday getting aggressive call-side into early weakness. Reopening plays remain the primary target as familiar names such as $Boeing Co(BA.US)$, $General Motors Co(GM.US)$$TripAdvisor Inc(TRIP.US)$ were lit up with call buyers all week again. 

我們很難對上週看到的訂單流感到悲觀。週五,機構清道夫表現出強勁的風險偏好,激進的看漲電話進入早盤疲軟。重啟播放仍然是主要目標,因為熟悉的名字,如$波音(BA.US)$, $通用汽車(通用汽車美國)$, $TripAdvisor Inc.(TRIP.US)$整個星期又被電話買家點亮了。

They also have shown an interest in a few individuals in recent days, and these names have both showed solid momentum and performance off the buying. $LENDINGCLUB CORP(LC.US)$ was the ticker of the day in that camp on Friday as institutions buying ran a blistering 35X normal flow. There have been no issues with the flow recently, it's just the better risk/reward entries that haven't been the most appealing for possible new swing positions. 

最近幾天,他們還對幾個人表現出了興趣,這些名字都表現出了強勁的勢頭和買入表現。$LendingClub Corp(LC.US)$上週五,該陣營的股票代碼是當天的股票代碼,因為機構買入的流量達到了正常水平的35倍。最近資金流動沒有問題,只是更好的風險/回報進入並不是對可能的新搖擺頭寸最具吸引力的。

Get ready because we have an action-packed week ahead, with the Fed meeting right smack in the middle of this week with March expiration. So expect the overall flow to be sloppy at times as players do some hedging and roll out expiring March positions. Even though the Fed is not expected to do anything, the market might have something to say about it. We already got a glimpse of it on Friday with rates pushing higher and it wouldn't shock us to see that continue up into the FOMC meeting on Wednesday as the markets try to make their point loud and clear to Mr. Powell. That may mean more volatility in the rate-sensitive groups like Tech, even though they sure looked a lot better on Friday. Additional volatility would actually be a good thing by keeping short tern sentiment in check. 

做好準備,因為我們將迎來忙碌的一週,美聯儲會議將在本週中期舉行,3月到期。因此,隨着參與者進行一些對衝並推出即將到期的3月份頭寸,預計整體資金流動有時會很草率。儘管預計美聯儲不會採取任何行動,但市場可能會對此發表意見。我們已經在週五看到了利率上升的跡象,如果這種情況持續到週三的聯邦公開市場委員會會議,我們不會感到驚訝,因為市場試圖向鮑威爾大聲而明確地表達自己的觀點。這可能意味着像Tech這樣對利率敏感的板塊會出現更大的波動,儘管它們上週五看起來確實好了很多。通過控制短期情緒,額外的波動性實際上是一件好事。

Volatility maybe could give us another tactical buy signal set up again, but make no mistake about it, all the momentum has been in these reopening plays. So if you are looking for tactical trades, intraday or over the extremely short term, that's where the focus will be on "most" days. Obviously, that can change but there have been no signs of that coming from flow or price action. The short-term sentiment is a lot more favorable in these tech and growth sectors and that should generate opportunities off additional selling in these spots. 

波動性可能會給我們提供另一個再次設置的戰術買入信號,但不要搞錯了,所有的勢頭都在這些重新開始的交易中。因此,如果你在尋找戰術交易,無論是在盤中還是在極短的時間內,這將是重點將在“大多數”天。顯然,這種情況可能會改變,但目前還沒有跡象表明,這種改變來自於資金流動或價格走勢。在這些科技和成長型行業,短期人氣要有利得多,這應該會從這些領域的額外拋售中創造機會。

Notable bettings toward broader market indices ETF on 3/12

3/12大盤指數ETF值得注意的押注

Market-wide option volume of 40.9m contracts was 5% below recent average levels, with calls leading puts 16 to 9. Single stock and Index products saw relatively heavy volume, while ETF flow was moderate. 

全市場4090萬份合約的期權成交量比最近的平均水平低5%,看跌期權佔比為16至9。單一股票和指數產品的成交量相對較大,而ETF的成交量較小。

Individuals breakdown by sectors (3/12 notable bets)

按行業細分的個人(3/12值得注意的賭注)

Most active sectors included Telecommunications, Industrials and Consumer Cyclicals while Energy and Health Care were relatively light. Of the 3,843 stocks with listed options, 2,360 (61%) closed higher, and 1,393 (36%) lower. Among the 500 most liquid single stocks, 30day implied volatility was lower for 238 and higher for 210. Unusual total option volume was observed in $Boeing Co(BA.US)$, $AT&T Inc(T.US)$, $Ford Motor Co(F.US)$$General Motors Co(GM.US)$ and $United States Steel Corp(X.US)$.

最活躍的行業包括電信、工業和消費品,而能源和醫療保健行業相對較輕。在3843只有期權上市的股票中,2360只(61%)收盤上漲,1393只(36%)下跌。在流動性最強的500只單一股票中,30天隱含波動率較低的有238只,較高的有210只。觀察到異常的期權總成交量$波音(BA.US)$, $AT&T公司(T.US)$, $福特汽車公司(F.US)$, $通用汽車(通用汽車美國)$$美國鋼鐵公司(X.US)$.

Tech

高科技

Industrial

工業

Consumer Cyclical

消費週期

Financial

金融

Communication Services

通信服務

Healthcare

醫療保健

Energy

能量

Real Estate

房地產

Basic materials

基礎材料

Consumer Defensive

消費者防禦性

Utilities

公用事業

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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