The Five-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Chongqing Fuling Electric Power Industrial (SHSE:600452) Shareholders as Stock Falls 5.1% Over the Past Week
The Five-year Decline in Earnings Might Be Taking Its Toll on Chongqing Fuling Electric Power Industrial (SHSE:600452) Shareholders as Stock Falls 5.1% Over the Past Week
Chongqing Fuling Electric Power Industrial Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600452) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 13% in the last month. But in stark contrast, the returns over the last half decade have impressed. In fact, the share price is 137% higher today. To some, the recent pullback wouldn't be surprising after such a fast rise. Ultimately business performance will determine whether the stock price continues the positive long term trend.
涪陵電力股票(600452.SH)的股東們可能會因爲看到股價在上個月下跌了13%而感到擔憂。但與此形成強烈對比的是,過去半個 decade,涪陵電力的回報令人印象深刻。事實上,股價今天比過去高出137%。對於一些人來說,在如此快速上漲之後出現最近的回調並不奇怪。最終業務表現將決定股價是否會延續積極的長期趨勢。
While the stock has fallen 5.1% this week, it's worth focusing on the longer term and seeing if the stocks historical returns have been driven by the underlying fundamentals.
雖然本週股價下跌了5.1%,但值得關注的是長期而言,股票的歷史回報是否受基本面驅動。
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
雖然一些人仍然相信有效市場假說,但已經證明市場是過度反應的動態系統,投資者並不總是理性的。一個不完美但簡單的方法來考慮公司市場看法的變化是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的波動。
During five years of share price growth, Chongqing Fuling Electric Power Industrial actually saw its EPS drop 2.2% per year.
在過去五年的股價增長中,涪陵電力的每股收益實際上每年下降2.2%。
By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Therefore, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movements.
通過瀏覽這些數字,我們可以推斷每股收益下降並不代表業務在這些年裏的變化。因此,值得看看其他指標以了解股票價格的變動。
We doubt the modest 1.0% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. In contrast revenue growth of 6.4% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Chongqing Fuling Electric Power Industrial is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
我們懷疑1.0%的較低股息率吸引了很少的買家。相比之下,每年6.4%的營業收入增長可能被視爲涪陵電力正在增長的證據,是一個真正的積極因素。在這種情況下,公司可能在犧牲當前每股收益來推動增長。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下方圖片中看到盈利和營業收入隨時間的變化(單擊圖表查看準確數值)。
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
資產負債表實力非常重要。查看我們關於其財務狀況如何隨時間變化的免費報告可能非常值得。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Chongqing Fuling Electric Power Industrial, it has a TSR of 150% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。TSR包括任何剝離或折價增資的價值,以及基於股息被再投資的假設。可以說TSR更全面地描繪了支付股息的股票的情況。就涪陵電力工業而言,過去5年的TSR爲150%。超過了我們之前提到的股價回報。毫無疑問,股息支付很大程度上解釋了這種差異!
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
It's good to see that Chongqing Fuling Electric Power Industrial has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 19% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. However, the TSR over five years, coming in at 20% per year, is even more impressive. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that Chongqing Fuling Electric Power Industrial is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
很高興看到涪陵電力以去年的19%的總股東回報獎勵股東。這已經包括了分紅派息。然而,過去五年的TSR達到每年20%,更令人印象深刻。雖然值得考慮市場條件對股價的影響,但還有其他更重要的因素。儘管如此,請注意,在我們的投資分析中,涪陵電力正在顯示一個警告信號,您應該了解...。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果您喜歡與管理層一起購買股票,那麼您可能會喜歡這個公司的免費列表。 (提示:其中許多公司不爲人注意且具有吸引力的估值。)
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。