Alliance Bank Malaysia Bhd (ABMB) has received mixed analyst assessment following its 2QFY2024/251 results.
MIDF Amanah Investment Bank Bhd (MIDF Research) has maintained a NEUTRAL call on the bank, with a target price of RM4.64, citing that the bank's positive performance has already been priced in.
Meanwhile, RHB Investment Bank Bhd (RHB Research) and Maybank Investment Bank Bhd (Maybank IB) have both maintained BUY calls, with target prices of RM5.50 and RM5.30, respectively, reflecting optimism about ABMB's continued growth prospects.
As at 10:09am, ABMB's stock traded at RM4.90. (Stock updates from Bursa Malaysia)
MIDF Research highlighted ABMB's strong momentum, with core net profit rising by 9% year-on-year in the first half of FY2024/25 (From April to September 2024). The growth was primarily driven by higher net income and reduced provisions. The bank's gross loans also saw significant growth across all segments, up 14.8% year-on-year. However, despite these positive factors, the research house has kept its target price below market valuation unchanged, noting that the stock has already factored in these improvements. MIDF Research is also cautious about the minor net interest margin (NIM) compression, which they will continue to monitor.
Meanwhile, RHB Research sees ABMB continuing to perform well, maintaining its BUY recommendation and raising its target price to RM5.50, reflecting a 13% potential upside. The firm believes that ABMB is on track to meet, if not exceed, its full-year targets, driven by robust loan growth, particularly in the SME and consumer sectors. The house expect credit costs to moderate in the second half of FY2024/25, a key factor in the bank's ongoing strong performance.
Maybank IB, while also maintaining its BUY recommendation, has scaled back its dividend payout ratio forecast to 40%, down from 50% previously, to allow for capital preservation while accelerating asset growth. Despite this adjustment, Maybank IB is confident that ABMB is performing in line with expectations, with loan growth exceeding industry averages and NIM improving. The analyst have kept their target price at RM5.30, noting that the bank's overall performance remains solid.
Overall, ABMB's strong first-half performance and growth trajectory are being recognised by analysts, although concerns over NIM compression and credit costs have led to some caution. The varying analyst views reflect differing perspectives on the sustainability of the bank's growth, but all agree on the positive outlook for the coming months. With an average target price of around RM5.00, the bank's future appears promising, despite the potential risks posed by macroeconomic factors.
FY2024/25: Financial year ending 31 March 2025 ︎
馬來西亞聯合銀行有限公司(ABMB)在公佈2024/251財年第二季度業績後收到的分析師好壞參半的評估。
MIDF Amanah Investment Bank Bhd(MIDF Research)對該行維持中性看漲態度,目標價爲4.64令吉,理由是該銀行的積極表現已經計入其中。
同時,印度盧比投資銀行有限公司(RhB Research)和馬來亞銀行投資銀行有限公司(Maybank IB)均維持買入看漲期權,目標價分別爲5.50令吉和5.30令吉,這反映了對ABMB持續增長前景的樂觀情緒。
截至上午10點09分,ABMB的股票交易價格爲4.90令吉。(來自馬來西亞證券交易所的最新股票)
MIDF Research強調了ABMB的強勁勢頭,2024/25財年上半年(2024年4月至9月)核心淨利潤同比增長9%。增長主要是由淨收入的增加和準備金的減少所推動的。該銀行的貸款總額也在所有領域均實現了顯著增長,同比增長14.8%。但是,儘管有這些積極因素,但該研究機構仍將目標價格維持在市場估值以下,並指出該股已經將這些改善考慮在內。MIDF Research還對小幅淨利率(NIM)壓縮持謹慎態度,他們將繼續對此進行監測。
同時,RhB Research認爲abmB將繼續表現良好,維持其買入建議並將其目標價上調至5.50令吉,反映出13%的潛在上漲空間。該公司認爲,在強勁的貸款增長,尤其是中小企業和消費領域的貸款增長的推動下,abMB有望實現甚至超過其全年目標。衆議院預計,信貸成本將在2024/25財年下半年放緩,這是該銀行持續強勁表現的關鍵因素。
Maybank Ib在維持其買入建議的同時,已將其股息支付率預測從之前的50%下調至40%,以在加速資產增長的同時保留資本。儘管進行了這樣的調整,但Maybank Ib相信abmB的表現符合預期,貸款增長超過行業平均水平,NiM也有所改善。該分析師將目標價格維持在5.30令吉,並指出該銀行的整體表現仍然穩健。
總體而言,分析師認可了ABMB上半年的強勁表現和增長軌跡,儘管對NiM壓縮和信貸成本的擔憂使人謹慎行事。分析師的不同觀點反映了對該銀行增長可持續性的不同看法,但都同意未來幾個月的樂觀前景。儘管宏觀經濟因素構成潛在風險,但該銀行的平均目標價約爲5.00令吉,前景看好。
2024/25 財年:截至 2025 年 3 月 31 日的財政年度 ︎