Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Fujian Raynen Technology (SHSE:603933) the Stock Surges 27%, Bringing Three-year Gains to 26%
Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at Fujian Raynen Technology (SHSE:603933) the Stock Surges 27%, Bringing Three-year Gains to 26%
By buying an index fund, you can roughly match the market return with ease. But if you choose individual stocks with prowess, you can make superior returns. For example, Fujian Raynen Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603933) shareholders have seen the share price rise 23% over three years, well in excess of the market decline (20%, not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 14% in the last year, including dividends.
通過購買指數基金,您可以輕鬆地大致匹配市場回報。但如果您選擇優秀的個股,您可以獲得更高的回報。例如,睿能科技(SHSE:603933)的股東在三年內看到股價上漲了23%,遠超市場下跌(20%,不包括分紅派息)。然而,近期的回報並沒有那麼令人印象深刻,過去一年該股票的回報僅爲14%,包括分紅派息。
After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.
在過去的一週之內,獲得的強勁收益是否表明了長期回報受到基本面的推動值得關注。
To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
引用巴菲特的話:「船隻將周遊世界,而『地平派』仍會興旺。市場上的價格和價值仍會存在廣泛的差距……」考慮一家公司在市場上的認知如何變化的一個不完美但簡單的方法是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的波動。
During the three years of share price growth, Fujian Raynen Technology actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 8.5% per year.
在三年的股價增長期間,睿能科技的每股收益(EPS)實際上每年下降了8.5%。
So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Given this situation, it makes sense to look at other metrics too.
因此,我們懷疑市場對公司價值的主要評價標準不是EPS。鑑於這種情況,看一下其他指標也是有意義的。
The modest 0.3% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. You can only imagine how long term shareholders feel about the declining revenue trend (slipping at 4.8% per year). The only thing that's clear is there is low correlation between Fujian Raynen Technology's share price and its historic fundamental data. Further research may be required!
溫和的0.3%分紅派息收益率不太可能支撐股價。你可以想象長期股東對營業收入下降趨勢(每年下降4.8%)的感受。唯一清楚的是,睿能科技的股價與其歷史基本數據之間的相關性較低。可能需要進一步研究!
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
以下圖片顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化(如果你點擊圖片,可以看到更詳細的信息)。
This free interactive report on Fujian Raynen Technology's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
如果你想進一步調查這隻股票,這份關於睿能科技資產負債表強度的免費互動報告是一個很好的開始。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Fujian Raynen Technology, it has a TSR of 26% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮股東總回報(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。TSR是一種回報計算方式,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設任何收到的分紅都被再投資)以及任何折扣資本融資和拆分的計算價值。可以說,TSR提供了股票所產生回報的更全面的視角。在睿能科技的案例中,它在過去3年中的TSR爲26%。這超過了之前提到的股價回報。這主要是由於其分紅派息!
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
It's good to see that Fujian Raynen Technology has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 14% in the last twelve months. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 5% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Fujian Raynen Technology that you should be aware of.
看到睿能科技在過去的十二個月中爲股東帶來了14%的股東總回報真是令人高興。這包括分紅。由於一年期的總資產回報率(TSR)優於五年期的總資產回報率(後者爲每年5%),因此股票的表現似乎在近期有所改善。鑑於股票價格的動量依舊強勁,可能值得更仔細地關注該股票,以免錯失機會。雖然考慮市場條件對股票價格的不同影響是非常重要的,但還有其他因素更爲關鍵。例如,我們已經確認了睿能科技需要您注意的一個警告信號。
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.
當然,您可能通過在其他地方尋找會找到一筆極好的投資。因此,請查看我們預計會增長收入的公司免費名單。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。