Despite an already strong run, Keli Motor Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002892) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 21% is also fairly reasonable.
Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Keli Motor Group is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 6.2x, considering almost half the companies in China's Electrical industry have P/S ratios below 2.4x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
How Has Keli Motor Group Performed Recently?
Revenue has risen firmly for Keli Motor Group recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Keli Motor Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Keli Motor Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 23%. Revenue has also lifted 13% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it concerning that Keli Motor Group is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Keli Motor Group's P/S?
The strong share price surge has lead to Keli Motor Group's P/S soaring as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
The fact that Keli Motor Group currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Keli Motor Group (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of Keli Motor Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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