Global Infotech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300465) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 32% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 56% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Global Infotech may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.7x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 7.2x and even P/S higher than 13x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does Global Infotech's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Global Infotech over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Global Infotech will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is Global Infotech's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Global Infotech would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 11%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 50% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 32% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this information, we are not surprised that Global Infotech is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Key Takeaway
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Global Infotech's P/S close to the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Global Infotech confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Global Infotech that you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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