Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Jiayu Holding Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300117) 29% Share Price Plunge
Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Jiayu Holding Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300117) 29% Share Price Plunge
Jiayu Holding Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300117) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 56% share price decline.
Following the heavy fall in price, it would be understandable if you think Jiayu HoldingLtd is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's Building industry have P/S ratios above 1.9x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
How Jiayu HoldingLtd Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Jiayu HoldingLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jiayu HoldingLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jiayu HoldingLtd?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Jiayu HoldingLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 58% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 62% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 22% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we understand why Jiayu HoldingLtd's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
What We Can Learn From Jiayu HoldingLtd's P/S?
Jiayu HoldingLtd's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Building companies. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Jiayu HoldingLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.
It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for Jiayu HoldingLtd that you need to take into consideration.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.