The 9.9% Return This Week Takes Hoyuan Green Energy's (SHSE:603185) Shareholders Five-year Gains to 151%
The 9.9% Return This Week Takes Hoyuan Green Energy's (SHSE:603185) Shareholders Five-year Gains to 151%
Hoyuan Green Energy Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603185) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 11% in the last month. But that scarcely detracts from the really solid long term returns generated by the company over five years. In fact, the share price is 134% higher today. Generally speaking the long term returns will give you a better idea of business quality than short periods can. Of course, that doesn't necessarily mean it's cheap now. Unfortunately not all shareholders will have held it for the long term, so spare a thought for those caught in the 35% decline over the last twelve months.
弘元綠能公司(SHSE:603185)股東們可能會對上個月股價下跌11%感到擔憂。但這並沒有減弱公司在過去五年中所創造的真正可觀的長期回報。事實上,股價今天比五年前高出了134%。一般來說,長期回報將更好地反映企業質量,而非短期所能體現的。當然,並不意味着現在就便宜。不幸的是,並非所有股東都會持有公司股票很長時間,因此請替那些在過去十二個月遭遇35%下跌的股東想一想。
After a strong gain in the past week, it's worth seeing if longer term returns have been driven by improving fundamentals.
在過去的一週之內,獲得的強勁收益是否表明了長期回報受到基本面的推動值得關注。
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
雖然市場是一個強大的定價機制,但股價反映的不僅僅是企業的基本業績,還有投資者的情緒。一個不完美但簡單的方式來考慮公司市場意識的變化是比較每股收益(EPS)的變化和股價的變化。
During five years of share price growth, Hoyuan Green Energy actually saw its EPS drop 0.9% per year.
在股價增長的五年期間,弘元綠能的每股收益實際上每年下降了0.9%。
So it's hard to argue that the earnings per share are the best metric to judge the company, as it may not be optimized for profits at this point. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
因此,很難說每股收益是評判公司的最佳指標,因爲此時它可能沒有針對利潤進行優化。由於每股收益的變化似乎與股價的變化無關,因此值得查看其他指標。
On the other hand, Hoyuan Green Energy's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 31% over the last five years. It's quite possible that management are prioritizing revenue growth over EPS growth at the moment.
另一方面,弘元綠能的營業收入在過去五年以31%的複合增長率增長得很好。目前管理層很可能將營業收入增長置於每股收益增長之上。
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
您可以看到以下收益和營收的變化情況(通過單擊圖像了解精確值)。
Balance sheet strength is crucial. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.
資產負債表實力非常重要。查看我們關於其財務狀況如何隨時間變化的免費報告可能非常值得。
What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?
那麼,股東總回報(TSR)呢?
We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Hoyuan Green Energy's total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Hoyuan Green Energy shareholders, and that cash payout contributed to why its TSR of 151%, over the last 5 years, is better than the share price return.
我們應該提到弘元綠能的總股東回報率(TSR)與其股價回報率之間的差異。可以說TSR是一種更完整的回報計算,因爲它考慮了分紅的價值(就好像它們被再投資了一樣),以及向股東提供的任何折現資本的假設價值。分紅對弘元綠能的股東真的很有益,現金支付有助於其TSR在過去5年中達到了151%,比股價回報更好。
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
Investors in Hoyuan Green Energy had a tough year, with a total loss of 35%, against a market gain of about 7.8%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 20% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Hoyuan Green Energy you should know about.
弘元綠能的投資者經歷了艱難的一年,總虧損達35%,而市場的漲幅約爲7.8%。即使優質股票的股價有時會下跌,但我們希望在對一個企業的基本指標有所改善之前才會產生興趣。在光明的一面是,長期股東賺了錢,五年內年均增長20%。如果基本數據繼續表明長期可持續增長,目前的拋售可能是值得考慮的機會。雖然考慮到市場情況對股價的影響是很值得的,但還有其他更重要的因素。例如,考慮風險。每家公司都有風險,我們已經發現了弘元綠能的2個警示信號,您應該了解。
We will like Hoyuan Green Energy better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我們看到一些大規模內部人士買入,我們會更喜歡弘元綠能。在等待的時候,請查看這份免費的不被高估的股票清單(主要是小市值股票),其中包含了相當多最近的內部交易。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。