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The Three-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Pacific Basin Shipping's (HKG:2343 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 7.5% in Past Week

The Three-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Pacific Basin Shipping's (HKG:2343 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 7.5% in Past Week

三年來收益下降並未幫助太平洋航運(HKG:2343)的股價,股價在過去一週再跌了7.5%
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/01 09:09

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. We regret to report that long term Pacific Basin Shipping Limited (HKG:2343) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 40% in three years, versus a market decline of about 2.8%. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 24% in the last year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 14% in the last three months.

作爲投資者,努力確保你的整體投資組合超越市場平均水平是值得的。但是在任何投資組合中,都可能會有一些股票未能達到這一基準。我們遺憾地報告,長揸太平洋航運有限公司(HKG:2343)股票的股東經歷了這樣的情況,股價在三年內下跌了40%,而市場整體下跌約2.8%。而最近的買家也面臨困難,過去一年股價下跌了24%。近期股價下跌的勢頭加劇,在過去三個月中股價下跌了14%。

Since Pacific Basin Shipping has shed HK$764m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

既然太平洋航運在過去7天中蒸發了76400萬港元的市值,那麼我們就來看看長期的下滑是否是由業務經濟因素驅動的。

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是反映基礎業務的表現。一種有缺陷但合理的評估公司情緒變化的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。

Pacific Basin Shipping saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 24% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 16% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. This suggests that the market retains some optimism around long term earnings stability, despite past EPS declines.

在過去三年中,太平洋航運的每股收益以每年24%的複合率下降。相比之下,16%的複合年股價下降並沒有每股收益的下降那麼嚴重。這表明,儘管過去的每股收益有所下降,但市場仍然對長期的盈利穩定性保持一些樂觀。

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

您可以在下面看到EPS如何隨時間變化(點擊圖片可以發現具體數值)。

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SEHK:2343 Earnings Per Share Growth December 1st 2024
香港股市:2343 每股收益增長 2024年12月1日

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Having said that, most people consider earnings and revenue growth trends to be a more meaningful guide to the business. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

我們喜歡內部人士在過去十二個月內買入股票。 話雖如此,大多數人認爲盈餘和營業收入的增長趨勢是對業務更有意義的指導。在買入或賣出股票之前,我們總是建議仔細審查歷史增長趨勢,詳情請見此處。

What About Dividends?

關於分紅派息的問題

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Pacific Basin Shipping, it has a TSR of -6.0% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

除了衡量每股價格回報,投資者還應考慮總股東回報(TSR)。而每股價格回報僅反映股價的變化,TSR則包括分紅的價值(假設已被再投資)以及任何折扣資本籌集或剝離的收益。因此,對於那些支付慷慨分紅的公司,TSR往往比每股價格回報高得多。在太平洋航運的案例中,在過去3年中,其TSR爲-6.0%。這超過了我們之前提到的每股價格回報。這主要是由於其分紅支付造成的!

A Different Perspective

不同的視角

Investors in Pacific Basin Shipping had a tough year, with a total loss of 20% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 18%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 14% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Pacific Basin Shipping that you should be aware of before investing here.

在太平洋航運的投資者經歷了一年艱難,總損失爲20%(包括分紅),而市場收益約爲18%。然而,請記住,即使是最好的股票在十二個月的時間裏有時也會跑輸市場。好的一面是,長期股東賺了錢,過去五年每年收益達到14%。最近的賣出可能是一個機會,因此查看基本數據以尋找長期增長趨勢的跡象可能是值得的。雖然考慮市場條件對股價的不同影響是非常重要的,但還有其他因素更爲重要。例如,我們發現了太平洋航運的兩個警告信號,您在此投資前應該意識到這些。

Pacific Basin Shipping is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find lesser know companies this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

太平洋航運並不是唯一一隻內部人士在買入的股票。對於那些喜歡尋找較少人知曉公司的投資者來說,這份關於近期內部人士購買的增長型公司免費名單,可能正是他們所需要的。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.

請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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