SoundThinking, Inc. (NASDAQ:SSTI) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 31% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 43% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, SoundThinking's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Software industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 5.6x and even P/S above 14x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
What Does SoundThinking's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
SoundThinking certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on SoundThinking.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
SoundThinking's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 19% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 84% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 2.4% as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 27% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why SoundThinking's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in SoundThinking have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
As expected, our analysis of SoundThinking's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with SoundThinking.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on SoundThinking, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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