Couchbase, Inc. (NASDAQ:BASE) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.
Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in the United States' IT industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.3x, you may consider Couchbase as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.3x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
What Does Couchbase's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times have been advantageous for Couchbase as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems the market expects this form will continue into the future, hence the elevated P/S ratio. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Couchbase will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
How Is Couchbase's Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Couchbase's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 21%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 76% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 17% per year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 12% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in mind, it's not hard to understand why Couchbase's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Final Word
Shares in Couchbase have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Couchbase's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Couchbase that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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