Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603527) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 7.2% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 37x, you may still consider Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials as an attractive investment with its 27.6x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials has been very sluggish. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials.
How Is Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials' Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 18% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 25% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 16% as estimated by the only analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 39%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials' stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Anhui Zhongyuan New Materials. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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