With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.5x Dow Inc. (NYSE:DOW) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios under 19x and even P/E's lower than 11x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Dow hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Dow.
Does Growth Match The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Dow would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 18% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 81% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 47% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 11% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Dow's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Dow's P/E?
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Dow's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Dow (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Dow's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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