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We Think DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300790) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

We Think DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300790) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

我們認爲東莞宇通光電科技有限公司(深交所代碼:300790)在債務方面有一定風險
Simply Wall St ·  2024/12/02 17:45

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that DongGuan YuTong Optical Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300790) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

有人說波動性,而不是債務,是投資者思考風險的最佳方式,但禾倫·巴菲特曾 famously 說過'波動性遠非與風險同義。' 當我們考慮一家公司的風險時,我們總是喜歡查看其債務使用情況,因爲債務過重可能導致破產。我們可以看到,宇瞳光學有限公司(SZSE:300790)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是,這些債務對股東來說是個問題嗎?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

通常情況下,當公司無法通過籌資或自有現金流輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能什麼也得不到。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司需要以低廉的股價稀釋股東,以控制債務。但是,通過取代股權稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資於增長的企業的非常好的工具。在我們審查債務水平時,我們首先考慮現金和債務水平。

How Much Debt Does DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd Carry?

宇瞳光學有限公司揹負多少債務?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd had debt of CN¥2.42b, up from CN¥1.90b in one year. However, it does have CN¥651.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.77b.

下圖可點擊查看更詳細的信息,顯示到2024年9月,宇瞳光學有限公司的債務爲24.2億人民幣,比一年前的19億人民幣有所增加。然而,它有65190萬人民幣的現金抵消這些債務,因此淨債務約爲17.7億人民幣。

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SZSE:300790 Debt to Equity History December 2nd 2024
SZSE:300790 股債歷史 2024年12月2日

How Strong Is DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?

東莞宇瞳光學科技有限公司的資產負債表有多強?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥2.16b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.04b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥651.9m and CN¥924.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥1.62b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

仔細查看最新的資產負債表數據,我們可以看到東莞宇瞳光學科技有限公司有CN¥21.6億的負債將在12個月內到期,還有CN¥10.4億的負債在以後到期。 另一方面,它有CN¥65190萬的現金和CN¥92400萬的應收賬款將在一年內到期。 因此,它的負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總和多CN¥16.2億。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥6.28b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

儘管這看起來很多,但並不算太糟,因爲東莞宇瞳光學科技有限公司的市值爲CN¥62.8億,因此如果需要,它可能通過融資來增強其資產負債表。 不過,仔細研究其償債能力仍然是值得的。

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

通過查看公司的淨債務與利息、稅、折舊、攤銷前利潤(EBITDA)之比以及它的利息費用(利息覆蓋率)可以衡量一個公司的債務負擔與收益能力。因此,我們考慮將債務與有無計算折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對比。

DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.0 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 3.4 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 139%, over the last 12 months. If it can keep walking that path it will be in a position to shed its debt with relative ease. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

東莞宇瞳光學科技有限公司的債務與EBITDA比率爲4.0,其EBIT覆蓋利息支出3.4倍。這表明儘管債務水平很高,但我們不會稱其爲問題。 然而,股東們回想東莞宇瞳光學科技有限公司實際上在過去12個月中EBIT增長了139%,這應該會讓他們感到一些安慰。 如果它能夠繼續走這條路,那麼將債務減輕將相對容易。 毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中學到了有關債務的更多信息。但是最終,業務的未來盈利能力將決定東莞宇瞳光學科技有限公司能否隨着時間的推移增強其資產負債表。 因此,如果想看看專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這份關於分析師利潤預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

最終,一家公司只能用現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。所以我們顯然需要查看EBIT是否帶來了相應的自由現金流。在過去三年中,宇瞳光學有限公司的自由現金流總計出現了明顯的負值。雖然這可能是由於增長支出造成的,但這確實使得債務風險大大增加。

Our View

我們的觀點

DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. We think that DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for DongGuan YuTong Optical TechnologyLtd (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

宇瞳光學有限公司的EBIT到自由現金流的轉化以及淨債務與EBITDA的關係對其影響確實較大。但好消息是,它似乎能夠輕鬆地增長EBIT。我們認爲,考慮上述數據點後,宇瞳光學有限公司的債務確實讓人感覺有些風險。並不是所有風險都是壞事,因爲如果能夠償還,這可以提升股票價格回報,但這種債務風險值得我們保持關注。毫無疑問,我們最了解的債務來自於資產負債表。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們發現宇瞳光學有限公司有3個警告信號(其中1個可能是嚴重的!),您在這裏投資之前應該注意。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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