Chengdu Leejun Industrial (SZSE:002651) Investors Are up 5.4% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Five Years
Chengdu Leejun Industrial (SZSE:002651) Investors Are up 5.4% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Five Years
Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. For example, long term Chengdu Leejun Industrial Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002651) shareholders have enjoyed a 59% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 18% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 4.1%, including dividends.
一般來說,積極選股的目的是找到提供超過市場平均水平回報的公司。根據我們的經驗,買對股票可以顯著增加財富。例如,長揸成都利君股份股份有限公司(SZSE:002651)的股東在過去五年中享受了59%的股價上漲,遠遠超過市場回報率左右的18%(不包括分紅)。另一方面,最近的漲幅並不那麼令人印象深刻,股東僅獲得了4.1%的回報,包括分紅。
Since it's been a strong week for Chengdu Leejun Industrial shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.
由於成都利君股份股東上週表現強勢,讓我們來看一下長期基本面的趨勢。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
市場有時無疑是高效的,但價格並不總是反映基礎業務表現。 一種檢查市場情緒如何隨時間改變的方法是查看公司的股價與每股收益(EPS)之間的互動。
During five years of share price growth, Chengdu Leejun Industrial actually saw its EPS drop 34% per year.
在股價增長的五年中,成都利君股份的每股收益實際上每年下降了34%。
Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
實際上,投資者似乎並沒有關注EPS。由於EPS的變化似乎與股價的變化不相關,因此值得關注其他指標。
We doubt the modest 0.6% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. In contrast revenue growth of 7.8% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Chengdu Leejun Industrial is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
我們懷疑%0.6的微薄股息率並沒有吸引很多買家購買該股。相反,每年%7.8的營業收入增長可能被視爲利君股份正在增長的證據,這是一個真正的積極因素。在這種情況下,公司可能正在犧牲當前每股收益來推動增長。
You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下方圖片中看到盈利和營業收入隨時間的變化(單擊圖表查看準確數值)。
Take a more thorough look at Chengdu Leejun Industrial's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
查看利君股份財務健康的更全面報告,請查看其資產負債表的免費報告。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Chengdu Leejun Industrial, it has a TSR of 67% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
重要考慮總股東回報以及股價回報。對於任何給定的股票,股價回報僅反映股價的變化,而TSR則包括股息的價值(假設它們被再投資)以及任何折價的融資或拆股的好處。因此,對於支付慷慨股息的公司,TSR往往比股價回報高得多。利君股份在過去5年中TSR達67%,超過了我們先前提到的股價回報。毫無疑問,股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧!
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
Chengdu Leejun Industrial shareholders gained a total return of 4.1% during the year. But that was short of the market average. It's probably a good sign that the company has an even better long term track record, having provided shareholders with an annual TSR of 11% over five years. Maybe the share price is just taking a breather while the business executes on its growth strategy. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Chengdu Leejun Industrial (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
利君股份的股東在一年內獲得了總回報率爲4.1%。不過這還未達到市場平均水平。公司擁有更好的長期歷史記錄可能是一個好跡象,過去五年爲股東提供的年均回報率爲11%。也許股價只是在業務執行增長策略時稍事休整。我發現長期來看股價作爲業務績效代理的表現非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞察力,我們也需要考慮其他信息。例如,我們發現了利君股份的四個警示信號(其中一個值得關注!)在你投資之前你應該知道。
We will like Chengdu Leejun Industrial better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
如果我們看到一些重要內部人士的大量買入,我們會更喜歡利君股份。在等待的時候,請查看這份免費的低估股票名單(主要是小市值股票),這些股票最近有相當多內部人士的買入。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。