Despite Delivering Investors Losses of 31% Over the Past 5 Years, Shanghai Ganglian E-Commerce Holdings (SZSE:300226) Has Been Growing Its Earnings
Despite Delivering Investors Losses of 31% Over the Past 5 Years, Shanghai Ganglian E-Commerce Holdings (SZSE:300226) Has Been Growing Its Earnings
It is a pleasure to report that the Shanghai Ganglian E-Commerce Holdings Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300226) is up 66% in the last quarter. But if you look at the last five years the returns have not been good. In fact, the share price is down 32%, which falls well short of the return you could get by buying an index fund.
很高興地報告,上海鋼聯電子商務股份有限公司(SZSE:300226)在過去一個季度上漲了66%。但是如果你回顧過去五年,收益並不好。實際上,股價下跌了32%,遠低於通過購買指數基金所能獲得的收益。
On a more encouraging note the company has added CN¥420m to its market cap in just the last 7 days, so let's see if we can determine what's driven the five-year loss for shareholders.
更令人鼓舞的是, 公司在過去7天內市場市值增加了42000萬元人民幣,因此讓我們看看是否能判斷出導致股東在過去五年虧損的原因。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
引用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話:短期內市場是一個投票機,但長期來看它是一個稱重機。評估公司周邊環境的情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
During the unfortunate half decade during which the share price slipped, Shanghai Ganglian E-Commerce Holdings actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 4.0% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Alternatively, growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
在股價下滑的可怕五年間,上海鋼聯電子商務股份有限公司的每股收益(EPS)實際上以每年4.0%的速度改善。考慮到股價的反應,大家可能會懷疑在此期間EPS是否是業務表現的良好指標(也許是由於一次性的虧損或收益)。或者,過去的增長預期可能是不切實際的。
Based on these numbers, we'd venture that the market may have been over-optimistic about forecast growth, half a decade ago. Having said that, we might get a better idea of what's going on with the stock by looking at other metrics.
根據這些數字,我們認爲市場在半個十年前可能過於樂觀地預測了增長。儘管如此,通過查看其他指標,我們可能會更好地了解該股的情況。
We don't think that the 0.3% is big factor in the share price, since it's quite small, as dividends go. It could be that the revenue decline of 3.1% per year is viewed as evidence that Shanghai Ganglian E-Commerce Holdings is shrinking. That could explain the weak share price.
我們認爲0.3%並不是影響股價的重要因素,因爲它相對較小,作爲分紅派息而言。這可能表明,每年的營業收入減少3.1%被視爲上海鋼聯正在萎縮的證據。這或許可以解釋股價疲軟。
The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
以下圖片顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化(如果你點擊圖片,可以看到更詳細的信息)。
You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
你可以在這個免費的互動圖表中看到它的資產負債表如何隨着時間的推移而加強(或削弱)。
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
Shanghai Ganglian E-Commerce Holdings shareholders are down 9.7% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 7.8%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 6% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shanghai Ganglian E-Commerce Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
上海鋼聯的股東今年下跌了9.7%(甚至包括分紅派息),但市場本身上漲了7.8%。然而,請記住,即使是最好的股票在十二個月期間也有可能表現不佳。不幸的是,去年的表現可能表明未解決的問題,因爲其表現比過去五年裏年化損失的6%還要糟糕。我們意識到巴倫·羅斯柴爾德曾說過,投資者應該在街頭有"鮮血"的時候"買入",但我們提醒投資者首先要確保他們購買的是高質量的業務。我發現長期觀察股價作爲業務表現的代理非常有趣。但要真正獲得洞見,我們還需要考慮其他信息。舉個例子,投資風險的無處不在的幽靈。我們已識別出與上海鋼聯相關的兩個警告信號,理解這些信號應該是你投資過程的一部分。
But note: Shanghai Ganglian E-Commerce Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
但請注意:上海鋼聯可能不是最佳的買入股票。所以看看這個免費列表,其中包含了過去盈利增長(以及進一步增長預測)的有趣公司。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。